TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x480d…f219backed Avalanche51c3,000$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.6685148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Avalanche73c2,882$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.632725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Sharks49c2,078$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.665149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Avalanche43c1,705$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.1132331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Sharks61c1,638$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.989747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed Avalanche39c1,509$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x483e…2d6bbacked Avalanche72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.911580%12 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Sharks29c1,303$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.923842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Sharks29c1,200$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9925340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Sharks27c1,198$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5531849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Sharks28c1,167$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7435545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Sharks64c854$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.5513361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche47c663.89$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3937254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Avalanche64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.12373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d3…ed8dbacked Sharks60c593.59$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Avalanche71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.382665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Avalanche77c557.78$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7614949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sharks4c554.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.317450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche41c524.83$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Avalanche70c512.54$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1213241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Sharks30c505.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche72c500$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.81,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Sharks29c499.93$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9854349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sharks8c428.05$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Sharks42c399.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1668720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Avalanche41c382.8$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.4930155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Avalanche71c348$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9224457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Sharks45c341.63$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7344848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Sharks28c339$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9223144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Sharks28c338.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9211445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43dd…5291backed Sharks66c316.98$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Avalanche72c303.37$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5913562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Avalanche35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18512955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Sharks61c256.69$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.381050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks28c254.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Sharks67c242.28$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.331442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Avalanche71c206.67$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Avalanche73c199.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551984.2%16 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Sharks29c199.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9929847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec0…a0eabacked Avalanche71c197.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.182763%17 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb5…f8d5backed Avalanche72c185.28$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.436100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Avalanche42c178.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.578633.7%29 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Sharks11c176.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65dc…0b11backed Sharks18c175.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.34333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Sharks28c174.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.524839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Sharks29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee8b…d83fbacked Sharks28c165.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.35520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Sharks27c153.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.138139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Avalanche71c150.7$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.74158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x535c…0af0backed Avalanche71c146.45$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05dd…91b6backed Avalanche71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb5…b365backed Avalanche71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Sharks69c139.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9619438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Sharks68c132.22$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9172448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche53c130$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.373157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed Avalanche41c128.44$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.781050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche69c126.3$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.151,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59de…010cbacked Sharks29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Sharks41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.223665.7%155 W · 81 L+15.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Sharks43c111.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.052748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1636…8c6abacked Sharks20c110.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Sharks28c101.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5219150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Sharks29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2850857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Avalanche41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Sharks13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Sharks28c99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7281846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf84a…f5afbacked Avalanche44c91.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Avalanche58c87.39$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.727243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88c1…a7cbbacked Avalanche72c81.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.944571.1%32 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1625…dfc0backed Avalanche38c78.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Avalanche41c77.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.720540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3758…7e20backed Avalanche71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.423268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb4…9653backed Avalanche71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x698a…99acbacked Avalanche72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe9…e00ebacked Avalanche74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.573066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Sharks28c63.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581d…24c3backed Avalanche59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.61471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54bb…a03dbacked Avalanche71c56.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a2…866dbacked Avalanche71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.349260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f8…32f2backed Sharks28c55.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6810941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Avalanche72c55.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.721776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ac…3e33backed Avalanche73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.791586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe2f…f072backed Avalanche70c53.42$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Avalanche39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+70.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb180…e610backed Avalanche71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x271e…bf4ebacked Sharks30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Avalanche61c49.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2331248.4%151 W · 161 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x296b…b313backed Avalanche72c46.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.151050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aeb…50a7backed Sharks29c46.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Avalanche75c43.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.686465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2de…9069backed Sharks28c41.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd26c…9392backed Sharks30c40.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd02…27b3backed Sharks28c37.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…2819backed Avalanche71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…b972backed Avalanche72c34.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.866471.9%46 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9797…4e3dbacked Avalanche72c34.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63961.5%24 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf71e…4c70backed Sharks60c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50b4…ffa4backed Avalanche71c33.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.