NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d16be3742133e0fd45c7854555a0ed2a04fe40161d526bba4377182c1762a70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Nets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 22c | 3,561$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.73 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Nets | 21c | 3,153$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.54 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Nets | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Nets | 22c | 2,800$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Heat | 78c | 2,208$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.77 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Nets | 20c | 1,388$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.67 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Nets | 19c | 1,295$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Nets | 21c | 1,222$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nets | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…5a68backed Nets | 19c | 942.11$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets | 7c | 876.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Nets | 3c | 800$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Nets | 23c | 660.87$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Nets | 19c | 655.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Nets | 22c | 616.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Heat | 74c | 600.97$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Heat | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Heat | 73c | 599.99$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 76c | 553.92$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.03 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Heat | 80c | 539.51$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets | 21c | 514.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nets | 11c | 498.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Nets | 18c | 401.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Nets | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Heat | 76c | 350$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Heat | 79c | 319.96$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Nets | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Nets | 17c | 298.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Heat | 78c | 273.67$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Nets | 19c | 269$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Nets | 19c | 269$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Nets | 25c | 255$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 79c | 254.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562d…db7dbacked Heat | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nets | 5c | 244$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 69c | 227.74$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Nets | 23c | 216.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 78c | 204.05$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Nets | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Heat | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Nets | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Nets | 22c | 191.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…9342backed Nets | 21c | 190.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets | 18c | 182.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Nets | 32c | 174.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Nets | 26c | 174.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Heat | 73c | 167.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…504ebacked Nets | 21c | 166.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nets | 20c | 156$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…0208backed Nets | 21c | 152.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Nets | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Heat | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…85efbacked Heat | 79c | 145.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b0…2b37backed Nets | 21c | 143.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…d038backed Nets | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…2c1dbacked Heat | 79c | 140.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Heat | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Heat | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Nets | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…78f0backed Heat | 77c | 128$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…81dfbacked Heat | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…1e56backed Heat | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc9…7c59backed Heat | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f51…2bd6backed Nets | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…5cf9backed Nets | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…9e02backed Heat | 79c | 113.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Heat | 79c | 111.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nets | 18c | 108.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…07b0backed Nets | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Heat | 80c | 102.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Nets | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nets | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Nets | 19c | 99.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Nets | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Nets | 19c | 98.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…e2babacked Heat | 79c | 91.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…4ea2backed Heat | 78c | 89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…ad39backed Heat | 79c | 87.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Nets | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Nets | 15c | 85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b86…75c1backed Heat | 79c | 82.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…1464backed Heat | 77c | 81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…34e6backed Nets | 23c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c4…803fbacked Nets | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Nets | 15c | 79.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Nets | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…2818backed Nets | 21c | 76.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…117bbacked Heat | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…b84fbacked Heat | 79c | 73.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…b2a1backed Nets | 21c | 71.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3974…d26fbacked Nets | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Nets | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Nets | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Heat | 73c | 69.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb6…53d6backed Nets | 23c | 69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Nets | 19c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Nets | 19c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Heat | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf016…52babacked Nets | 23c | 66.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.