NFL · resolved market
Patriots vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc296b2cec8da6884e4c6ff1355ad17ef60eccc6df63b79e7772d4bc92e1dcd3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Patriots, Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $736,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $900,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $736,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Patriots | 20c | 136,474$27,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,468.12 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Bills | 72c | 87,042$63,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,998.05 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Bills | 76c | 44,523$33,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,616.33 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Patriots | 26c | 36,640$9,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,680.89 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Patriots | 22c | 35,715$7,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,758.58 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Patriots | 12c | 23,198$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.86 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Patriots | 21c | 22,295$4,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,572.21 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Patriots | 9c | 22,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.96 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Patriots | 9c | 15,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Patriots | 3c | 13,761$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.92 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Patriots | 22c | 13,197$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Patriots | 19c | 10,708$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Patriots | 24c | 9,947$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Patriots | 9c | 9,824$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.89 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Patriots | 9c | 5,926$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.92 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd11…44e1backed Patriots | 27c | 5,783$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Patriots | 7c | 5,033$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.17 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Patriots | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Patriots | 10c | 4,051$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.61 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Patriots | 9c | 3,256$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.18 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…a1d0backed Bills | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Patriots | 10c | 2,717$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.13 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…2c0dbacked Patriots | 35c | 2,630$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Patriots | 21c | 2,603$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.1 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Patriots | 4c | 2,574$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Patriots | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…68f3backed Patriots | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Patriots | 22c | 2,289$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Patriots | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Bills | 75c | 1,847$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…eacfbacked Patriots | 2c | 1,800$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Patriots | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Patriots | 8c | 1,461$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Bills | 80c | 1,456$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.41 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Patriots | 36c | 1,407$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Patriots | 17c | 1,383$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.95 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Bills | 76c | 1,329$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.59 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…c98abacked Patriots | 4c | 1,171$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Patriots | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Bills | 74c | 1,103$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.88 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Bills | 78c | 1,100$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…19bcbacked Patriots | 12c | 1,096$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Patriots | 9c | 1,051$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Patriots | 9c | 1,044$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Patriots | 19c | 1,027$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Patriots | 32c | 1,024$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.18 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Patriots | 10c | 1,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Bills | 72c | 1,000$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Patriots | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…c36bbacked Patriots | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Patriots | 27c | 949.22$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Patriots | 24c | 931.97$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.38 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…e828backed Patriots | 10c | 888$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…dc6abacked Bills | 75c | 867.74$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Patriots | 15c | 815.18$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Patriots | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Patriots | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bills | 78c | 700$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Patriots | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Bills | 63c | 697.3$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Patriots | 10c | 694$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c91…5a71backed Patriots | 9c | 693$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…ae23backed Bills | 74c | 691.16$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…0d45backed Patriots | 23c | 653.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…920ebacked Patriots | 10c | 652$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…edd0backed Patriots | 10c | 622$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…0c3fbacked Patriots | 9c | 603$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Patriots | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…3496backed Patriots | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Bills | 75c | 599.99$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…695dbacked Patriots | 9c | 578$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…c085backed Patriots | 10c | 577$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Bills | 79c | 575.28$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.67 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b8…0461backed Patriots | 10c | 562$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Patriots | 9c | 555.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Patriots | 9c | 550.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b85abacked Patriots | 10c | 547$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe683…71e6backed Patriots | 24c | 543.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Patriots | 4c | 517.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Bills | 76c | 508.74$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Bills | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Patriots | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…dd48backed Patriots | 9c | 481$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…2a14backed Patriots | 10c | 460$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a7…e598backed Patriots | 10c | 455$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3651…3a98backed Patriots | 10c | 454$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6f…64debacked Patriots | 9c | 452$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Bills | 76c | 450.69$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Patriots | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6eb…50e9backed Patriots | 10c | 444$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Patriots | 18c | 440.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2594…ea50backed Patriots | 10c | 439$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Patriots | 10c | 426.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Patriots | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Bills | 69c | 411.59$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Patriots | 9c | 399.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Patriots | 12c | 399.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913e…1ba8backed Patriots | 11c | 357.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6239backed Patriots | 10c | 345$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…2270backed Patriots | 20c | 338.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.