NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9ea451109fade045a62396b43188224c3d45c27353c832303792f0f387e26ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8589…95bfbacked Sabres | 42c | 10,028$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,816.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc95…8533backed Islanders | 58c | 10,016$5,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,809.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35a…d709backed Islanders | 59c | 5,725$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…99c4backed Sabres | 41c | 3,500$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Sabres | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders | 36c | 2,995$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.2 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x756b…500fbacked Sabres | 41c | 2,205$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Sabres | 40c | 1,178$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.56 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Islanders | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.96 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Sabres | 62c | 957.18$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.64 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Islanders | 36c | 677.74$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.12 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders | 28c | 427.38$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.47 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Islanders | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Sabres | 43c | 383.02$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.32 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Sabres | 43c | 381.13$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.92 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…4d76backed Sabres | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Islanders | 57c | 333$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Islanders | 59c | 260.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.69 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders | 58c | 255$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.78 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Islanders | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Islanders | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…9301backed Islanders | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Sabres | 41c | 247.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23ad…5a1fbacked Sabres | 42c | 238.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres | 55c | 225.27$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.37 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…461dbacked Islanders | 58c | 217.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…4ad9backed Sabres | 42c | 216.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Islanders | 58c | 182$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Islanders | 28c | 178.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…f1e8backed Sabres | 62c | 161.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0b…878fbacked Sabres | 57c | 134.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Sabres | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Islanders | 33c | 99.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Islanders | 59c | 88.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Islanders | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…e383backed Islanders | 59c | 70.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Islanders | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders | 57c | 65.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ac…4755backed Sabres | 41c | 60.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Islanders | 57c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb61…30b5backed Islanders | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…5bd9backed Islanders | 58c | 50.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Sabres | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Sabres | 41c | 48.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Sabres | 43c | 46.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Sabres | 41c | 44.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831c…d430backed Islanders | 56c | 43.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…21aabacked Sabres | 43c | 41.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…c58cbacked Sabres | 43c | 41.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…a5e8backed Islanders | 57c | 41.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fae…c4b4backed Islanders | 57c | 41.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77e7…fe72backed Sabres | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4048…22d4backed Islanders | 56c | 40.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…1cd1backed Islanders | 58c | 40.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9aa…dfbcbacked Islanders | 58c | 40.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…d38bbacked Sabres | 42c | 40.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…39fabacked Sabres | 42c | 40.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d66…c5dcbacked Sabres | 42c | 40.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…b204backed Sabres | 42c | 39.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…ca67backed Islanders | 58c | 39.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa046…62a4backed Sabres | 42c | 39.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fc…1746backed Islanders | 56c | 39.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…5b30backed Islanders | 59c | 39.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…4b84backed Sabres | 42c | 39.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0639…5bd1backed Sabres | 41c | 38.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf995…9163backed Islanders | 58c | 38.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b972backed Sabres | 78c | 38.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4b…12fabacked Sabres | 41c | 38.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…fe55backed Sabres | 42c | 38.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…72b6backed Islanders | 58c | 37.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…f14dbacked Sabres | 42c | 37.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…4d86backed Islanders | 56c | 37.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bd…5983backed Islanders | 56c | 37.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2b…62d2backed Sabres | 42c | 37.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x375d…6590backed Sabres | 41c | 37.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9272…9143backed Sabres | 44c | 37.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd662…0d9abacked Islanders | 57c | 37.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc748…2508backed Sabres | 43c | 37.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…4d3cbacked Islanders | 56c | 37.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe202…0534backed Sabres | 44c | 37.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc343…ef41backed Sabres | 44c | 36.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…ea9ebacked Islanders | 58c | 36.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…a84abacked Sabres | 42c | 35.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb466…8252backed Islanders | 56c | 35.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf016…52babacked Sabres | 42c | 35.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efc…ab7cbacked Sabres | 44c | 34.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1e…8e94backed Islanders | 58c | 34.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…47a3backed Islanders | 58c | 33.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f9…b638backed Sabres | 42c | 33.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Islanders | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d1…f78fbacked Sabres | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7e…cd35backed Islanders | 58c | 33.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb079…14fdbacked Sabres | 41c | 33.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…dbbcbacked Islanders | 59c | 32.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…c6b2backed Islanders | 59c | 32.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…0a58backed Islanders | 58c | 32.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…e6b3backed Sabres | 42c | 31.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…cc6abacked Sabres | 42c | 31.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…7a52backed Islanders | 56c | 31.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…28d7backed Islanders | 59c | 31.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.