TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Bucks, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Bulls11c25,000$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769.9972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1fa…53a6backed Bulls0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc143…82d1backed Bulls0c11,018$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38c…3687backed Bulls47c10,026$4,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,711.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa37f…cebcbacked Bucks53c10,019$5,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,709.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a42…371abacked Bucks53c10,015$5,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,706.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…d0c0backed Bulls47c10,002$4,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,700.9130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Bulls48c4,901$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.2337448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Bulls39c3,251$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.854623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks58c3,136$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.633,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Bucks47c3,067$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.6865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ef…55d4backed Bulls1c3,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-58.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Bulls46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.973528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Bulls0c3,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.254573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Bulls47c2,637$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.2577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucks45c2,627$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.871,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Bulls49c2,612$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.7270951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x721c…9bfcbacked Bucks54c2,573$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.686347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks44c2,098$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.961,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Bulls53c2,028$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.9619845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae22…4bb7backed Bucks44c2,006$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.142839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f63…4fddbacked Bulls46c1,812$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.3350%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa55f…c3d6backed Bucks46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8105935.6%21 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks50c1,260$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.8596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76c6…5a68backed Bucks45c1,179$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.392365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Bulls56c1,179$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6605354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Bucks44c1,077$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.1234644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Bulls56c1,000$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.4112154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Bucks53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47016242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bucks44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Bucks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5007536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcde1…dfc0backed Bulls46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid+192.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e2…4693backed Bucks53c999.97$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Bulls56c897.64$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.6833752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2fd…24eabacked Bucks54c868.52$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.521266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+55.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5c…b2d8backed Bulls49c866.51$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…e26cbacked Bucks67c848.28$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2612651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Bulls61c813.97$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Bulls42c804.87$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.2961532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Bucks64c784.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.648937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Bulls47c689.98$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.3917846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Bucks44c686.31$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.338040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bucks50c684.94$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.775347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea5f…8d3dbacked Bulls54c650$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Bucks53c646.46$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.461,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bulls19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Bulls34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17023835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Bucks44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Bulls46c499.87$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9429148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks51c496.69$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.381,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Bulls61c470$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.648137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Bucks45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.447346.6%34 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82cf…defdbacked Bulls47c414.89$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Bucks54c414.81$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.814344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Bucks55c405.15$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.2939843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Bucks54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3723248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b1…d2e6backed Bucks54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.373724.3%9 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-44%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4840…979bbacked Bulls6c355$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Bucks54c350$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16126049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Bulls56c333$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4820245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Bulls46c321.86$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.940448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Bulls26c300$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.737831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks52c287.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.242,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Bulls57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8076…85f9backed Bulls18c255.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0216125.5%41 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls51c255$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bulls56c234.58$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3749849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Bucks50c232.97$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.49646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Bucks44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2716440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x003e…7956backed Bucks54c225.07$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…becfbacked Bulls48c225$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…a7f1backed Bulls48c220.83$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Bulls47c220$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.421649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf6e…8845backed Bucks54c219.44$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa858…9d06backed Bulls48c217.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb92d…dd95backed Bucks55c216.5$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dad…36c2backed Bulls48c215.63$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6f4…8b46backed Bulls48c215.42$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x335f…b13ebacked Bucks55c215.27$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.27683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+57.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9793…28b9backed Bucks54c214.81$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.81520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9c…fe5abacked Bucks54c214.26$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc68…b436backed Bulls49c213.66$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked Bulls47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003956.4%22 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Bulls47c212.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006640.9%27 W · 39 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bulls46c197.49$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8457760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x757b…62c8backed Bucks54c186.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3218644.6%83 W · 103 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bucks64c185.25$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.315,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb338…ad5bbacked Bucks54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192540%10 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ef0…a56ebacked Bucks54c184.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.15850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bulls10c178.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.971,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Bucks44c176.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6826933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Bucks58c172.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2726547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Bucks44c163.64$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.645628.6%16 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+62.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf85…117bbacked Bulls47c159.69$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Bulls32c156.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Bulls57c151.84$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0536747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Bulls45c150$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.514941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Bulls27c125.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7617141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.