Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Xtreme Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47143ecf77e873ac5bd00a54d34e4d070bd82b9c7ab5f0b41043b6da143ed0f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof BetBoom Team, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf12a…f637backed BetBoom Team | 16c | 42,003$6,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,910.51 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed BetBoom Team | 17c | 9,290$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed BetBoom Team | 19c | 8,725$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.8 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked BetBoom Team | 18c | 6,141$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.38 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked BetBoom Team | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked BetBoom Team | 20c | 5,718$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked BetBoom Team | 20c | 2,728$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.73 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed BetBoom Team | 19c | 2,670$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed BetBoom Team | 12c | 1,600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed BetBoom Team | 12c | 1,389$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…33aabacked BetBoom Team | 11c | 1,209$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…cb7ebacked BetBoom Team | 4c | 950$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked BetBoom Team | 9c | 774.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7b…78a1backed BetBoom Team | 24c | 744.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 600.08$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 559$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.71 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed BetBoom Team | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed BetBoom Team | 25c | 450$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed BetBoom Team | 20c | 369$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed BetBoom Team | 17c | 364.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked BetBoom Team | 44c | 360.29$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…389fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 357.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e06…d668backed BetBoom Team | 13c | 270.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…f7e4backed BetBoom Team | 23c | 215.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd874…f54dbacked BetBoom Team | 19c | 214.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…2c44backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 213.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 210.65$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed BetBoom Team | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed BetBoom Team | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 183.33$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked BetBoom Team | 32c | 132.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…08e5backed BetBoom Team | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…136bbacked BetBoom Team | 29c | 129.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…be51backed BetBoom Team | 9c | 128.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 119.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked BetBoom Team | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384c…08d2backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 99.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…849abacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 88.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 85.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4a…73d2backed BetBoom Team | 25c | 81.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed BetBoom Team | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 66.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0b…97dabacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 59.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…2212backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 50.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c78…f271backed BetBoom Team | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed BetBoom Team | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…1210backed BetBoom Team | 36c | 36.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.