Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs. Team Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfddf69d1fb314a6d11558322ca4632571a660022153db0af80bec68c10c32c53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Tidebound, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Team Tidebound | 42c | 17,960$7,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,554.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea0f…23b1backed Team Tidebound | 21c | 16,056$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,435.52 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Team Tidebound | 45c | 9,101$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 7,033$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Team Tidebound | 42c | 6,511$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.13 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 5,654$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.43 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Team Falcons | 54c | 5,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 4,791$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Falcons | 76c | 4,775$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed Team Falcons | 57c | 3,768$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.86 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e9…4660backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 3,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Falcons | 58c | 3,403$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.3 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 3,371$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.33 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Team Falcons | 59c | 3,107$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.77 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Team Tidebound | 12c | 3,062$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Falcons | 58c | 3,020$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.54 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Team Tidebound | 21c | 2,999$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.84 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684f…af41backed Team Tidebound | 25c | 2,963$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 2,931$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.43 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…ae62backed Team Tidebound | 45c | 2,906$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Team Falcons | 70c | 2,689$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Team Tidebound | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Team Tidebound | 40c | 2,260$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.99 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Team Falcons | 71c | 2,144$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.02 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Team Tidebound | 44c | 2,094$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Falcons | 61c | 2,003$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.15 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Team Tidebound | 42c | 1,770$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.28 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,738$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 1,738$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.66 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,712$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.28 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,690$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.5 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Team Tidebound | 40c | 1,637$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.98 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…a9a6backed Team Tidebound | 44c | 1,540$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Team Falcons | 68c | 1,535$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.87 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Team Tidebound | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…f574backed Team Tidebound | 42c | 1,342$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9e…1e92backed Team Falcons | 79c | 1,256$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…9850backed Team Tidebound | 34c | 1,240$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…7b83backed Team Tidebound | 42c | 1,190$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…9539backed Team Tidebound | 36c | 1,125$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,084$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Team Tidebound | 24c | 1,023$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.57 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…e50abacked Team Tidebound | 29c | 1,000$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 992$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.8 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons | 61c | 820.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.84 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Team Tidebound | 41c | 819$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.79 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Team Falcons | 58c | 798$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Team Tidebound | 33c | 791.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.98 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…9155backed Team Falcons | 70c | 740.27$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Team Tidebound | 19c | 700.89$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Tidebound | 43c | 665.81$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.3 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…b816backed Team Tidebound | 29c | 614.56$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed Team Tidebound | 41c | 608.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Team Tidebound | 35c | 600$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…83dabacked Team Falcons | 80c | 538.55$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Tidebound | 42c | 534.74$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Team Falcons | 66c | 533.94$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.97 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…5963backed Team Tidebound | 2c | 529.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 514.69$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.03 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 59c | 508.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.57 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 504.64$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.95 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Tidebound | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…5080backed Team Tidebound | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…9e83backed Team Tidebound | 26c | 483.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team Falcons | 59c | 454.42$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.42 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…81f3backed Team Tidebound | 40c | 440$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 438.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d55…aa1ebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 436.89$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Team Falcons | 58c | 420.79$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.79 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Team Falcons | 71c | 418.56$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Team Falcons | 61c | 364.42$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…111dbacked Team Tidebound | 39c | 353.91$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…389fbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 348.33$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.33 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…2212backed Team Falcons | 59c | 336.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…52bfbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Tidebound | 44c | 301.93$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed Team Falcons | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…5638backed Team Tidebound | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Team Tidebound | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Team Tidebound | 32c | 289.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Tidebound | 41c | 278$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Team Tidebound | 42c | 276.9$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1962…370dbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 267.24$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Team Falcons | 78c | 260$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…6bd8backed Team Falcons | 58c | 245.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Team Tidebound | 43c | 232.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Team Falcons | 58c | 229.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Team Tidebound | 18c | 224.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3557…4596backed Team Tidebound | 34c | 221.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…1f8cbacked Team Tidebound | 45c | 220.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Team Falcons | 58c | 215.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Tidebound | 41c | 211.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Tidebound | 42c | 205.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Team Falcons | 61c | 204.08$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Team Falcons | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Team Tidebound | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…e7a4backed Team Falcons | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.