NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaa1318a4331023d1ebe1b5846d77e500595d77853f6692cada85dd34a6cafa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Capitals, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blackhawks | 6c | 8,724$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,229.94 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Blackhawks | 9c | 8,125$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,353.61 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Capitals | 66c | 4,526$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.03 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Blackhawks | 34c | 4,113$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.92 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Blackhawks | 38c | 2,354$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.05 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Blackhawks | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.94 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Blackhawks | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.78 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…388dbacked Blackhawks | 35c | 1,257$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 1,139$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.19 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks | 36c | 1,119$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.92 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Capitals | 65c | 1,024$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 63c | 987.51$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.29 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…eaf1backed Capitals | 62c | 865$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…6accbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 860$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Blackhawks | 46c | 708.61$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.65 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Capitals | 63c | 701.59$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blackhawks | 57c | 670$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.9 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Capitals | 67c | 659.51$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.82 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Blackhawks | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blackhawks | 6c | 487.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.88 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1efa…6a86backed Capitals | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Capitals | 77c | 440$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Capitals | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Blackhawks | 34c | 399.96$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.98 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Capitals | 64c | 391.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed Capitals | 61c | 299.95$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Capitals | 63c | 297.13$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.25 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 62c | 260$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 250.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 64c | 250$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.73 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…df4cbacked Capitals | 65c | 235$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 63c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Capitals | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Capitals | 62c | 168.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Blackhawks | 6c | 168.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.34 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Blackhawks | 22c | 163.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Capitals | 63c | 159.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Capitals | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…720bbacked Capitals | 65c | 126.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Capitals | 66c | 124.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…a238backed Capitals | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Capitals | 61c | 105.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Capitals | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…73b5backed Capitals | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Blackhawks | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…272abacked Capitals | 62c | 88.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…d781backed Blackhawks | 39c | 88.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Blackhawks | 34c | 87.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…1fa4backed Capitals | 61c | 84.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0b…878fbacked Capitals | 66c | 83.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Capitals | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Capitals | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Blackhawks | 35c | 80.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Capitals | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blackhawks | 36c | 74.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ce…ac67backed Capitals | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Capitals | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Blackhawks | 16c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…14f4backed Blackhawks | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Capitals | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Capitals | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8e…aaf5backed Capitals | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…78cdbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 64.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a8…04e0backed Blackhawks | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fa…23f4backed Blackhawks | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…798bbacked Capitals | 65c | 63.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…9367backed Capitals | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Blackhawks | 36c | 63.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Blackhawks | 37c | 53.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b3…0cd4backed Blackhawks | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Capitals | 65c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Capitals | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…8400backed Capitals | 65c | 48.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…0fa9backed Blackhawks | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b972backed Capitals | 64c | 46.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…5346backed Capitals | 65c | 45.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…2d0fbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…07b0backed Blackhawks | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Blackhawks | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe03b…b53ebacked Blackhawks | 37c | 39.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…0236backed Capitals | 62c | 39.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…388ebacked Capitals | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Capitals | 65c | 38.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Blackhawks | 36c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…0482backed Capitals | 63c | 37.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a1…b004backed Blackhawks | 37c | 37.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…a1e6backed Capitals | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…4b96backed Capitals | 62c | 36.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…4760backed Capitals | 63c | 36.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e9…03c4backed Capitals | 63c | 36.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…2ce9backed Capitals | 65c | 35.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…3a8bbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 35.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…dd61backed Capitals | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +114%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…dd9bbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…74dabacked Capitals | 62c | 34.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…4fc6backed Capitals | 61c | 34.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…c816backed Blackhawks | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…1150backed Blackhawks | 32c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.