NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe7bc87933b19a799f614489959078ed6c905dcd79e30927ab01233b718181b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors | 24c | 15,413$3,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.98 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Raptors | 1c | 15,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors | 26c | 8,986$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.22 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 23c | 8,636$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.28 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 31c | 8,102$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.36 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raptors | 28c | 8,082$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.09 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Rockets | 70c | 7,177$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.94 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Rockets | 74c | 6,863$5,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.29 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…8027backed Raptors | 48c | 5,062$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.02 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Raptors | 47c | 4,992$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.53 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Rockets | 74c | 4,657$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.56 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 25c | 4,006$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.6 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Rockets | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…1fb9backed Raptors | 1c | 3,394$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 2c | 3,359$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raptors | 29c | 3,073$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.4 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb169…1d6fbacked Rockets | 77c | 2,965$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 36c | 2,919$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.55 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Raptors | 42c | 2,914$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.05 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Raptors | 25c | 2,840$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.52 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63e…b059backed Rockets | 77c | 2,730$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Rockets | 62c | 2,635$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.03 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Rockets | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e082backed Raptors | 4c | 2,441$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Raptors | 29c | 2,322$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.38 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Raptors | 32c | 2,142$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.8 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Rockets | 77c | 2,000$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.64 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 15c | 1,942$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.41 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockets | 77c | 1,880$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.32 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Rockets | 67c | 1,798$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Raptors | 16c | 1,593$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Rockets | 57c | 1,576$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.85 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Raptors | 24c | 1,500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Rockets | 68c | 1,500$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Raptors | 26c | 1,492$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.62 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…d7fcbacked Raptors | 23c | 1,458$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Rockets | 65c | 1,432$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.23 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…dc6abacked Rockets | 60c | 1,412$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Raptors | 24c | 1,400$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Raptors | 39c | 1,349$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.59 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Rockets | 75c | 1,332$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Rockets | 67c | 1,327$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.77 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffcb…8733backed Rockets | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…5ba3backed Rockets | 66c | 1,200$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rockets | 60c | 1,104$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.04 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Rockets | 61c | 1,102$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.51 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Raptors | 23c | 1,092$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Raptors | 23c | 1,067$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.75 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Rockets | 60c | 1,053$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.41 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…c405backed Raptors | 36c | 1,050$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.43 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…0d45backed Rockets | 61c | 1,022$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rockets | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Rockets | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Rockets | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Rockets | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…4d30backed Rockets | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 67c | 962.36$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.58 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…ea54backed Rockets | 76c | 935$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Raptors | 23c | 888.52$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.43 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Rockets | 57c | 875.44$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.44 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…f922backed Raptors | 27c | 864.4$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…242ebacked Rockets | 73c | 864.38$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Rockets | 74c | 820.7$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Rockets | 77c | 817.79$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.09 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Rockets | 77c | 814.57$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.99 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Raptors | 35c | 810$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Raptors | 43c | 806.65$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.63 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Raptors | 50c | 804.08$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets | 75c | 800$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Rockets | 78c | 800$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Rockets | 68c | 733.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.88 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Rockets | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Rockets | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 22c | 699.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…864fbacked Rockets | 77c | 685.36$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Raptors | 5c | 674.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Rockets | 77c | 662.57$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Rockets | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Raptors | 35c | 617$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Raptors | 25c | 603.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Rockets | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…f21ebacked Raptors | 24c | 599.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets | 63c | 593.83$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.72 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Rockets | 77c | 560.18$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.84 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…da4cbacked Raptors | 2c | 545.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…6a65backed Rockets | 57c | 530.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.84 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…1106backed Rockets | 77c | 519.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.23 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Rockets | 77c | 514.27$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.28 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Rockets | 76c | 505.24$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.26 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Rockets | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0b…878fbacked Raptors | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe48e…8f7dbacked Raptors | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Raptors | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…a5b6backed Raptors | 6c | 492.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Raptors | 36c | 484.05$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.09 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 16c | 480.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Rockets | 55c | 473.92$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.27 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2758…66e1backed Raptors | 24c | 472.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…0fcabacked Raptors | 5c | 458.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Raptors | 22c | 455.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.