TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$245,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$265,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8767…ad1ebacked Kings1c50,026$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf103…abebbacked Pacers45c10,007$4,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,504.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Kings1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff8f…03e9backed Kings55c9,996$5,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,498.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d5…efc9backed Pacers44c5,805$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,250.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ad…f10cbacked Pacers44c5,553$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,109.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Pacers46c5,440$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.386450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ae…3c5abacked Kings56c4,820$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf21c…e780backed Kings56c4,464$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Kings6c3,699$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3121649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Kings57c3,146$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.386245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Kings54c2,960$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.2537448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a8…4527backed Pacers47c2,732$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings56c2,721$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.249849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings53c2,675$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.2296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ec…3665backed Pacers78c2,625$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.594060%24 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bed…43b2backed Kings56c2,071$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.761729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers47c2,010$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.31,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Kings38c1,943$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.6363555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Pacers72c1,744$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.6536747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Kings22c1,677$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.4726235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers41c1,654$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.6565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e2…4693backed Pacers45c1,576$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pacers46c1,549$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.8376249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Pacers44c1,480$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.810925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x728d…9d3dbacked Kings56c1,304$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57ed…b338backed Kings55c1,301$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings55c1,300$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7101,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad4…9845backed Pacers46c1,300$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.671050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb245…da75backed Pacers46c1,284$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ed…adddbacked Kings53c1,280$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.41060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+81.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed Kings53c1,264$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick64cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings3c1,230$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3804…9912backed Kings53c1,121$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.92955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b35…67b4backed Kings56c1,096$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9043…f2d3backed Pacers46c1,095$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a3fdbacked Pacers46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Kings6c1,046$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3723438.9%91 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Pacers46c1,031$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.0437831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Kings55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55026547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Pacers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52012154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4f…042bbacked Kings54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5404042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7685…e082backed Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Kings55c999.95$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9713857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Pacers42c961.76$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.765358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6afa…8f06backed Pacers45c948.58$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.721770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Pacers62c944.06$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.6814941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6d…6c66backed Pacers46c902.8$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.513759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Kings56c856.5$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.6417243%74 W · 98 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Kings53c784.99$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.047024.3%17 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers60c783.61$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.021,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51e5…e26cbacked Pacers47c778.53$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.6212651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5237…89babacked Pacers47c760$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings33c750$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings20c712.33$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.471,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings37c707.44$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.251,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers44c702$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.5377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Kings59c683.14$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.914254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Kings59c675.45$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.7525957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Pacers46c656.82$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.38246.3%38 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Kings20c650$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13048137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x721c…9bfcbacked Kings52c619.18$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3256347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Pacers80c606.25$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2545135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb4…d00fbacked Pacers45c599.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9910151.5%52 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1edd…f21ebacked Kings54c599.97$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.984835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Pacers45c565.74$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.167236.1%26 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Pacers80c550$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11019939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce54…90bcbacked Kings54c542.59$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2932343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Pacers47c542.55$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.555354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pacers55c512.51$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.6461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Pacers64c506.78$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4417141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Kings54c504.67$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8629043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings42c500.4$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2289353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…d7fcbacked Pacers45c499.97$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.981241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pacers43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.121,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2d…e123backed Kings53c455$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.151250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Kings55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21cc…aa95backed Pacers46c450$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x548c…46a9backed Kings53c450$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Kings68c441.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007363%46 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pacers46c438$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23838027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pacers48c431.74$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.9170951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings11c406.81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.065,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Pacers46c406.52$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.5211135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a0…3d33backed Pacers47c400.82$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.562842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5c…b2d8backed Pacers46c393.7$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Kings54c393.22$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6811150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Kings54c391$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4645251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe017…9b3abacked Kings55c390.91$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+59.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Kings8c378.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.861822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings53c359.3$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.021,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Kings56c357.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0329661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Kings54c351.98$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.0711662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0950…ca79backed Kings59c350$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick58cpaid-74.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d08…0080backed Kings59c334.99$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.845330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers45c332.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.132,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Kings53c320.59$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9126933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Kings18c302.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0715947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings4c302.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.091,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.