NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c383763be6d52798646d3dbc1cc687e66afa62a1fb8f79e667846b8f1303bc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Warriors, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 0c | 6,191$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Warriors | 0c | 4,588$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Warriors | 35c | 2,390$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.64 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…ad54backed Grizzlies | 60c | 2,343$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…4361backed Warriors | 40c | 2,343$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 2,200$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.97 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 42c | 2,070$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.89 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Warriors | 1c | 2,008$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 66c | 2,007$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 1c | 1,666$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 44c | 1,435$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.4 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors | 18c | 1,417$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.91 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 43c | 1,272$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.53 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies | 65c | 1,269$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.79 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Warriors | 40c | 1,244$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.56 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…a9c3backed Warriors | 40c | 1,240$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 57c | 1,143$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.09 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 1,125$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…a7efbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 1,107$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…1eaabacked Warriors | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…2ab4backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,078$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.82 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…e250backed Grizzlies | 60c | 1,070$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…1c1abacked Warriors | 40c | 1,070$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 35c | 1,004$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.2 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.01 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Grizzlies | 60c | 999.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Warriors | 31c | 999.96$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…4cf5backed Warriors | 45c | 998$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.78 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Warriors | 45c | 967.79$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.51 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Grizzlies | 56c | 899.6$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.72 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 23c | 886.75$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.84 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Grizzlies | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 779.61$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.44 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Warriors | 30c | 633.31$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.58 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Warriors | 39c | 560.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.82 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa27…eea1backed Grizzlies | 58c | 534$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…14d7backed Warriors | 42c | 534$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a3…d3acbacked Warriors | 39c | 530$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…6b4abacked Grizzlies | 61c | 530$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 525.6$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.98 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Grizzlies | 67c | 506.93$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.17 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…72d6backed Warriors | 45c | 505$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…480abacked Warriors | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…05f6backed Warriors | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…efa0backed Grizzlies | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be3…abcdbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…699fbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…9bdabacked Grizzlies | 61c | 499.97$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 43c | 499.91$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.96 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Grizzlies | 57c | 470$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Warriors | 38c | 457.85$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…eda8backed Grizzlies | 58c | 450$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…8c4abacked Warriors | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Grizzlies | 68c | 442.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.65 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Warriors | 40c | 427.27$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Grizzlies | 60c | 416.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Warriors | 3c | 411.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Grizzlies | 58c | 398.29$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.2 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Warriors | 46c | 380.08$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Grizzlies | 58c | 380$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Grizzlies | 70c | 380$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…8012backed Grizzlies | 58c | 377$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…69fbbacked Warriors | 42c | 377$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…5625backed Warriors | 33c | 376.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Grizzlies | 55c | 371.43$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.57 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…2bd3backed Warriors | 18c | 354.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Warriors | 11c | 343.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Warriors | 43c | 341.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Grizzlies | 66c | 325.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Warriors | 45c | 314.81$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.66 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…77fdbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 311$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…d51ebacked Warriors | 42c | 311$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Warriors | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Warriors | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Warriors | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Warriors | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…0fcabacked Warriors | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Grizzlies | 59c | 299.21$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.68 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Warriors | 44c | 294.1$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Warriors | 40c | 294.08$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…81dfbacked Grizzlies | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Grizzlies | 56c | 288.17$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors | 28c | 276.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 264.21$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3e…e974backed Warriors | 44c | 255.45$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…b1c8backed Grizzlies | 57c | 255.42$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Warriors | 41c | 255$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Warriors | 40c | 251.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Warriors | 38c | 250.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Grizzlies | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Warriors | 41c | 244.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…cfa8backed Warriors | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Grizzlies | 54c | 239.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.3 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Warriors | 44c | 233.45$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 41c | 230.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Grizzlies | 69c | 225.26$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Warriors | 5c | 222.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Warriors | 46c | 217.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Warriors | 39c | 213.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.