NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4da9b785b219fbeef8b096b558d8b7a0dc6fc8c34ca014dc416300e6367d24db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $629,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $630,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $629,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 800 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Kings | 66c | 46,073$30,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,435.83 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Kings | 30c | 38,573$11,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,097.37 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 35c | 28,700$9,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,784.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…5f8ebacked Mavericks | 70c | 28,439$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Mavericks | 0c | 27,325$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 40c | 18,603$7,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,134.07 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kings | 76c | 17,951$13,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.86 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks | 61c | 17,554$10,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,707.36 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Mavericks | 0c | 14,166$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Mavericks | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Mavericks | 55c | 8,419$4,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,638.84 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mavericks | 43c | 8,395$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.24 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Kings | 28c | 7,755$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,608.26 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…63afbacked Mavericks | 75c | 6,671$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Kings | 48c | 6,310$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.21 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…4efebacked Kings | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Mavericks | 51c | 4,999$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.49 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Kings | 47c | 4,280$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.42 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c3…30a2backed Mavericks | 73c | 3,877$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Mavericks | 48c | 3,700$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.99 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Mavericks | 43c | 2,938$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.22 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Kings | 33c | 2,666$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.18 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Kings | 28c | 2,560$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.44 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Kings | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Kings | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Kings | 51c | 2,350$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.92 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Kings | 48c | 2,264$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.23 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Mavericks | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.79 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…3e7abacked Mavericks | 54c | 1,986$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kings | 45c | 1,931$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.61 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Mavericks | 10c | 1,921$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.53 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,894$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.09 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Mavericks | 76c | 1,852$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.99 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Mavericks | 42c | 1,820$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.66 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Mavericks | 54c | 1,819$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kings | 2c | 1,805$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.76 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f6…1493backed Mavericks | 60c | 1,751$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,695$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.9 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,664$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.95 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Mavericks | 57c | 1,659$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.52 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…c5f7backed Mavericks | 67c | 1,569$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Kings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Kings | 42c | 1,398$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.61 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Mavericks | 58c | 1,344$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.8 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings | 51c | 1,328$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.97 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Kings | 79c | 1,272$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.13 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Mavericks | 44c | 1,250$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.2 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kings | 2c | 1,169$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.42 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6860…ef1fbacked Kings | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Kings | 36c | 1,027$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.5 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…55ccbacked Mavericks | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5934…d2e7backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…4be3backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…d94abacked Mavericks | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…f30fbacked Kings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c4…bbcdbacked Mavericks | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…805dbacked Kings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…4d5ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…58adbacked Kings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5c…8db7backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…45cebacked Kings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe147…4da3backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd291…d8d7backed Kings | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…d3fbbacked Mavericks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…e4b5backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x250d…b481backed Kings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…98b3backed Kings | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…1a7cbacked Kings | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Mavericks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…6f09backed Kings | 51c | 973.99$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.26 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Mavericks | 50c | 972.57$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.29 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Mavericks | 73c | 966.81$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.22 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 943.62$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.68 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings | 49c | 900.22$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.14 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…b444backed Kings | 56c | 898.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Kings | 48c | 868.61$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.92 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa868…6185backed Mavericks | 50c | 850$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Mavericks | 50c | 830$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks | 14c | 800$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.33 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd153…6eb1backed Kings | 53c | 800$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mavericks | 50c | 784.66$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.18 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…32b8backed Mavericks | 74c | 771.56$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mavericks | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Kings | 50c | 709.02$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.02 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd835…0d2dbacked Kings | 51c | 703.32$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Kings | 7c | 702.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.95 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Mavericks | 41c | 694.38$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.7 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Kings | 42c | 686.68$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.7 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Kings | 60c | 650.46$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.67 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Kings | 51c | 646.68$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.25 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…98acbacked Kings | 40c | 633$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.8 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kings | 8c | 625$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.98 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Kings | 40c | 617.85$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.21 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Mavericks | 52c | 608$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.16 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 605$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.92 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks | 54c | 600.24$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.22 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.