TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Nets, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Nets41c8,219$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,809.451,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Raptors59c6,852$4,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,052.0972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets39c6,684$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,076.6577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Nets38c4,800$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,965.483268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Raptors58c4,762$2,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,761.968561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets32c3,891$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.711,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Raptors62c2,628$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.351,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Raptors61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52537954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Nets43c2,338$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.8176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nets61c2,208$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.6449849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets43c2,052$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.911,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d08…0080backed Nets45c1,872$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.995330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16fd…5b47backed Nets38c1,832$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.134344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Raptors57c1,728$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.7237448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors9c1,698$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.731,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Raptors59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.9922832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors34c1,426$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.4265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets38c1,372$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.443,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Nets35c1,347$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.67759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Raptors8c1,270$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors47c1,243$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.531,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Raptors53c1,238$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.5830351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Raptors63c1,180$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.392725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Nets51c1,148$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.8126547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccfb…376ebacked Raptors60c1,100$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec74…05f6backed Nets53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5171323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-56%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be3…abcdbacked Raptors47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+65.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b3d…f0c9backed Nets45c1,100$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6031172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick37cpaid+138.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Raptors53c1,065$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.6719137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb4…0081backed Nets39c1,040$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.47100%7 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+144%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbb5…b6b6backed Raptors61c1,040$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.41216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Raptors61c1,000$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.0529148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Raptors12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12063555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Raptors61c999.99$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9936057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ceb…0c87backed Raptors63c999.68$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.87251.4%37 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Raptors4c951.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.491,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Nets39c871.3$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.5985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Raptors50c800.85$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.517536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Raptors56c795.68$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.2673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors53c777.75$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.211,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Nets40c758.48$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.9139843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors57c739.17$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.941,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef6b…134dbacked Nets35c711.01$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Nets44c639.87$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.9214941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Nets46c607.34$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2129043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Nets51c604.28$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.3170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Raptors17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004928.6%14 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Raptors58c533.95$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.698343.4%36 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc647…efa0backed Raptors55c510$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2821…72d6backed Nets45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Raptors45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22529661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Raptors57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28530440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfda5…9bdabacked Raptors45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252540%10 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Nets37c484.28$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.5972341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Raptors75c460$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.2825651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Raptors58c432.72$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6425957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Raptors56c421.36$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f2…a87fbacked Nets45c419.01$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.861675%12 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Nets39c399.83$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.711150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Nets39c374.77$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.6175347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6f…8012backed Raptors61c366$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+156.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6817…69fbbacked Nets39c366$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Raptors61c357.26$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9320245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Nets28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.148246.3%38 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a5a…b64fbacked Nets38c350$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2171100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9597…c0e4backed Raptors62c350$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Nets45c321.5$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.515237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7679…8c3abacked Nets44c305.06$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0611849.2%58 W · 60 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x747d…8879backed Raptors62c300.12$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Nets45c300$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16448137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Raptors47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14110236.3%37 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01f9…9987backed Nets40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64cc…02c9backed Nets39c299.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+163.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1efa…6a86backed Nets52c289.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.41875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Raptors57c284.04$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.453250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Raptors71c283.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021357.7%123 W · 90 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e6…213ebacked Nets38c269.53$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe022…5625backed Raptors53c263.32$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a4…17d0backed Nets37c250$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.53565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8643…dc82backed Nets21c250$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.55827.6%16 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+92.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Nets39c239.44$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9445251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce73…70a9backed Raptors41c239.35$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.151637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+79.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0cc…5cb7backed Nets53c238$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4067…9795backed Nets38c230$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Nets22c230$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.447535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2753…2683backed Nets45c222.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+86.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Raptors60c218.92$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.299646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Nets47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7738942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Nets48c207.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9717838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Raptors62c205.29$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8418666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Raptors57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11489353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Raptors57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Raptors55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf92…e512backed Nets46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10819746.2%91 W · 106 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8167…3051backed Raptors30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors54c199.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.991,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Raptors54c198.2$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9340448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Nets40c185$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11133638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nets42c179.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8938027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.