College Football · resolved market
California vs. UNLV
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cb971ba85e36b470e03882650f5802833ff8b374442d4cbd37cc314db32a62a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNLVof California, UNLV
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed California | 40c | 9,599$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,828.44 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed California | 1c | 7,877$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…cc82backed UNLV | 57c | 6,179$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed California | 34c | 5,991$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.46 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…94c5backed California | 41c | 5,768$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…fe58backed UNLV | 65c | 5,632$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.02 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…5179backed California | 41c | 5,536$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a4…cfd0backed UNLV | 59c | 4,975$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked California | 43c | 4,438$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.79 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed UNLV | 60c | 4,165$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…6440backed UNLV | 59c | 4,142$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed California | 38c | 3,971$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.95 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…9965backed UNLV | 59c | 3,652$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked California | 0c | 3,458$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…d87ebacked UNLV | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed California | 38c | 2,916$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked UNLV | 58c | 2,870$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1609…55babacked California | 41c | 2,523$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed California | 40c | 2,033$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.75 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3232…b62ebacked UNLV | 56c | 1,935$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked California | 40c | 1,921$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.49 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked California | 47c | 1,677$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked UNLV | 60c | 1,677$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed UNLV | 61c | 1,628$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.93 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…ed8dbacked California | 35c | 1,528$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked California | 1c | 1,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked California | 48c | 1,480$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.54 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…43b2backed California | 41c | 1,468$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked California | 44c | 1,467$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed California | 55c | 1,451$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked UNLV | 63c | 1,435$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.3 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed UNLV | 61c | 1,429$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.58 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…ab49backed California | 13c | 1,416$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed California | 37c | 1,316$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed UNLV | 62c | 1,281$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.92 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…6a65backed UNLV | 63c | 1,271$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed California | 4c | 1,239$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed California | 45c | 1,157$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…e250backed UNLV | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…1c1abacked California | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked California | 3c | 1,100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…118fbacked UNLV | 48c | 1,098$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a34…9ae5backed California | 52c | 1,098$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…9b45backed UNLV | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…9182backed California | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…94f2backed California | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…1537backed UNLV | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…35ebbacked California | 2c | 1,038$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed UNLV | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked California | 37c | 999.99$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed UNLV | 61c | 999.94$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…05f6backed California | 50c | 988$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be3…abcdbacked UNLV | 50c | 988$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked UNLV | 59c | 982.87$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…2205backed UNLV | 66c | 942.43$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed UNLV | 70c | 925.13$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.09 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed UNLV | 57c | 900$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…6accbacked UNLV | 50c | 890$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…eaf1backed California | 50c | 890$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed California | 39c | 837.09$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.12 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked UNLV | 78c | 831.34$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.76 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed UNLV | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked California | 38c | 797.99$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…477fbacked California | 42c | 750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…36b0backed California | 42c | 750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560c…22ecbacked California | 42c | 750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…8c6abacked California | 38c | 737.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…f062backed California | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3b…dc63backed UNLV | 53c | 662.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…d1abbacked California | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…2453backed California | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25aa…c8c7backed California | 43c | 588$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked UNLV | 57c | 580$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.66 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed California | 38c | 552.4$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.91 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a46…f5e6backed UNLV | 58c | 550$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed UNLV | 58c | 530$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.3 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed UNLV | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed UNLV | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked California | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252e…c4c1backed California | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked UNLV | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d6…e7d9backed UNLV | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0804…0e63backed California | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed UNLV | 60c | 495.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed UNLV | 56c | 494.77$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.2 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked UNLV | 56c | 480.73$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…b4f0backed California | 41c | 478.02$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed California | 47c | 477.2$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…d829backed California | 41c | 476.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…cbe9backed California | 43c | 466$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…a5d7backed UNLV | 57c | 466$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed UNLV | 55c | 465.78$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.33 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed California | 2c | 460$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked UNLV | 61c | 430.55$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked UNLV | 66c | 408.23$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked UNLV | 62c | 402.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3b…7666backed UNLV | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…afc0backed UNLV | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4e…d0e9backed UNLV | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…3c6abacked California | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.