Space · resolved market
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa35c016f850a9461db06e3391c7185d19f9f68dda1ce8e94ec8b1ade342de1ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $430,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $464,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 652 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 59c | 24,551$14,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,097.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed No | 39c | 16,930$6,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,561.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9a…55a3backed No | 36c | 16,751$6,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,033.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +152.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…b26bbacked Yes | 65c | 15,407$9,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,408.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 32c | 13,167$4,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked No | 0c | 13,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3c…434fbacked No | 46c | 12,225$5,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,618.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 63c | 10,198$6,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,785.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 35c | 9,021$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.29 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked No | 33c | 7,802$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 50c | 7,079$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed Yes | 60c | 6,975$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…5cd6backed Yes | 60c | 6,261$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 38c | 5,939$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 33c | 5,894$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…fbfabacked Yes | 60c | 5,278$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 39c | 5,087$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 60c | 5,043$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…b0fabacked No | 36c | 4,358$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…3b01backed Yes | 66c | 4,085$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 63c | 4,062$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 36c | 3,846$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.94 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…1751backed Yes | 65c | 3,120$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed Yes | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…0e8ebacked Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 38c | 2,957$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 56c | 2,928$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 61c | 2,903$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Yes | 70c | 2,871$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 62c | 2,743$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…625bbacked No | 40c | 2,721$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…4c7bbacked Yes | 61c | 2,701$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed No | 40c | 2,584$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 61c | 2,448$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…f7afbacked Yes | 63c | 2,447$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 20c | 2,336$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.94 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 62c | 2,334$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…ab9dbacked No | 32c | 2,245$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…a675backed No | 33c | 2,047$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +93%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…d553backed No | 40c | 2,037$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…99a4backed Yes | 61c | 2,015$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6235…910fbacked Yes | 68c | 2,013$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +126%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 32c | 2,000$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 33c | 1,877$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 62c | 1,799$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 59c | 1,622$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 60c | 1,618$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…3e5fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 29c | 1,579$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c63…dff7backed Yes | 64c | 1,565$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 41c | 1,542$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.59 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…bf6ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,464$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc0…cc95backed Yes | 69c | 1,462$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,435$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…8966backed Yes | 66c | 1,401$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 41c | 1,388$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 36c | 1,385$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 64c | 1,369$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Yes | 69c | 1,331$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…de5dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,200$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 18c | 1,169$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…dbd9backed Yes | 65c | 1,168$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…517bbacked No | 44c | 1,148$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb810…b043backed Yes | 68c | 1,139$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 59c | 1,135$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…6e1fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,129$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…650dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,107$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…4391backed Yes | 65c | 1,098$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df2…a33abacked Yes | 68c | 1,039$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1cd8backed No | 39c | 1,008$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 36c | 1,000$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bc…7267backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c3…b5cebacked No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…6ef6backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 30c | 1,000$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…1f75backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 61c | 974.25$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.31 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 32cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 66c | 960.42$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked No | 29c | 945.74$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…eb03backed Yes | 57c | 876.32$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +240%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…929ebacked Yes | 62c | 800$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 33c | 750$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +245.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…b4dbbacked Yes | 68c | 734.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…716ebacked No | 36c | 731.24$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 59c | 729$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8362…a316backed Yes | 60c | 714.72$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 37c | 714.37$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.67 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…ddd3backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…6365backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 49c | 702$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 34c | 700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0842…0f97backed No | 75c | 682.11$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed Yes | 59c | 675.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 36c | 666$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b7…02e1backed No | 30c | 649.27$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…3fb9backed Yes | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 38c | 639.2$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.92 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?this page
- SpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?No won
- SpaceX 7th Starship booster survives re-entry?Yes won
- SpaceX 7th Starship upper stage successful splash down?No won
- SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?Yes won
- SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?No won
- SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 15?No won
- SpaceX Starship 7th launch reaches space?Yes won
- Will Trump attend the launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.