Space · resolved market
SpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83cbe2163655a7b55283f92cc0d1f70538408e27dca50657744362b802eb57e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 75c | 30,979$23,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,685.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 28c | 12,075$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed Yes | 30c | 10,963$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 22c | 7,742$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 24c | 6,284$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.23 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 76c | 6,083$4,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed Yes | 32c | 5,829$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 27c | 5,158$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked Yes | 1c | 4,820$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 11c | 4,689$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.91 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 22c | 4,182$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 26c | 3,896$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked No | 77c | 3,896$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ed…ce35backed Yes | 1c | 3,446$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 23c | 2,594$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.28 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…f7afbacked Yes | 23c | 2,414$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…4c7bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,301$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 70c | 2,190$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa22d…ea45backed No | 79c | 2,157$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73de…c4fabacked Yes | 2c | 1,526$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…8ffabacked Yes | 4c | 1,441$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 27c | 1,362$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…93dcbacked No | 69c | 1,311$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…5009backed Yes | 31c | 1,307$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…de5dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,131$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…4391backed Yes | 23c | 1,075$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 22c | 699.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed No | 69c | 690$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 70c | 689.11$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…ddd3backed No | 78c | 638.93$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…4f7fbacked No | 76c | 559.26$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…a675backed Yes | 23c | 530.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +93%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked No | 74c | 527.26$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0b…661bbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…76febacked Yes | 21c | 470.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 27c | 429.47$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…26e8backed No | 78c | 423.3$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 75c | 417.58$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739e…00fcbacked Yes | 25c | 399.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…921fbacked Yes | 25c | 398.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed Yes | 31c | 349.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…0ffabacked No | 72c | 348.55$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 5c | 344.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed No | 76c | 325.56$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed Yes | 23c | 321.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1545…e2b2backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 276.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 72c | 272.89$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 7c | 264$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 27c | 252.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…99c9backed Yes | 20c | 251.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45bd…d412backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 29c | 236$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…d63cbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 26cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…fbfabacked Yes | 24c | 226.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e55…41fcbacked No | 78c | 223.79$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 19c | 221.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 31c | 213.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 11c | 211.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…0ed4backed No | 72c | 206.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 73c | 205.42$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1b…62c1backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…5a1bbacked No | 75c | 194.42$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…1bd7backed No | 80c | 192.81$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…256ebacked No | 78c | 182.51$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked No | 77c | 172.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9d…bb71backed Yes | 26c | 170$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…b9e7backed Yes | 22c | 162.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…8b8dbacked No | 78c | 162.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…94e9backed No | 77c | 151.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33df…d8e0backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437a…c732backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…eacfbacked No | 70c | 135$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…b36dbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…7c05backed No | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6f…d79abacked Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…1910backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…22c8backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +232.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…a8d5backed No | 78c | 121.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed No | 67c | 111$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371f…b7e6backed Yes | 23c | 104.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb0…a989backed No | 80c | 101.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6074…ebcdbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8e54backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…b7b6backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…93fdbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?this page
- Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?Yes won
- SpaceX 7th Starship booster survives re-entry?Yes won
- SpaceX 7th Starship upper stage successful splash down?No won
- SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?Yes won
- SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?No won
- SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 15?No won
- SpaceX Starship 7th launch reaches space?Yes won
- Will Trump attend the launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.