Space · resolved market
SpaceX 7th Starship upper stage successful splash down?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1dfae9ff40a4ae4ec50c666a2c456ff3b45936a4acf9e2244773e9f80b9872a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1b0…c3f0backed Yes | 4c | 4,780$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 2c | 4,095$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 6c | 2,693$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…a675backed No | 20c | 2,006$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +93%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,638$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 26c | 1,448$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…625bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,336$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 77c | 1,300$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 3c | 998.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…cb09backed No | 25c | 903.51$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +301.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed No | 71c | 900$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…db01backed Yes | 74c | 759.2$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed Yes | 50c | 705.98$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…99c9backed No | 34c | 675.88$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…2858backed Yes | 76c | 656.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 24c | 626.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.51 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 18c | 621.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.05 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked Yes | 78c | 617.86$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 54c | 561.04$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 21c | 550.22$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 66c | 523.66$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 67c | 493.78$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 77c | 482$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…5ac2backed Yes | 76c | 444.42$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 77c | 437.49$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…1f0bbacked Yes | 80c | 432.34$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked No | 24c | 409.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 4c | 384.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c51…f8febacked No | 31c | 350$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +221.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ed…ce35backed No | 28c | 347.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed No | 19c | 344.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 48c | 329.03$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed No | 23c | 290$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…0ed4backed Yes | 78c | 280.4$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Yes | 79c | 274.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 24c | 254.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.57 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d60…3bd5backed No | 77c | 216.61$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked No | 53c | 210.91$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed No | 25c | 198.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…026cbacked Yes | 80c | 193.34$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 75c | 180$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…4e2dbacked Yes | 79c | 176.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 31c | 176.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…49acbacked No | 33c | 175.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6f…d79abacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 50c | 136.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…c4d5backed No | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d1…ffe3backed No | 22c | 120$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +207.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 26c | 97.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…f814backed No | 26c | 97.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 78c | 95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes | 79c | 94.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…e5a0backed No | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 28c | 86.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…1f3cbacked Yes | 68c | 82.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed No | 29c | 79.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…02eabacked No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea04…b8c2backed Yes | 49c | 71.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…44cbbacked No | 25c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e2f5backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cb…3603backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fc…8626backed Yes | 80c | 48.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…fc83backed Yes | 78c | 48.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…8ffabacked Yes | 76c | 47.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed No | 30c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…431fbacked Yes | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4b…c9fbbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 32c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…b7b6backed No | 29c | 41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…b4c6backed Yes | 73c | 33.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 67c | 31.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…f8bdbacked No | 49c | 30.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Yes | 68c | 30.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +232.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…868cbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed No | 50c | 25.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…a2e1backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac0…ff34backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc6…bbe5backed Yes | 80c | 18.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…5c70backed Yes | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…5641backed Yes | 80c | 17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c4…b534backed Yes | 80c | 16.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…7b48backed Yes | 80c | 16.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…397ebacked Yes | 80c | 15.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52e…685cbacked Yes | 80c | 15.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…5165backed Yes | 80c | 14.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…9a52backed Yes | 80c | 13.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4793…0377backed Yes | 80c | 13.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…78b4backed Yes | 80c | 12.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SpaceX 7th Starship upper stage successful splash down?this page
- Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?Yes won
- SpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?No won
- SpaceX 7th Starship booster survives re-entry?Yes won
- SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?Yes won
- SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?No won
- SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 15?No won
- SpaceX Starship 7th launch reaches space?Yes won
- Will Trump attend the launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.