Space · resolved market
SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10a33b244345f792c1765adc12737b48168b79c8b3255d1895685df9181946a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 0c | 20,010$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked No | 1c | 14,932$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 2c | 12,500$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 11,086$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ed…ce35backed No | 1c | 10,636$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 2c | 8,828$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…4a09backed No | 2c | 8,459$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 1c | 7,718$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed No | 4c | 7,659$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.76 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 29cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5da6…388fbacked No | 0c | 5,800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 11c | 5,150$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…f814backed No | 0c | 4,123$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1b…383abacked No | 3c | 2,277$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 21c | 2,241$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 10c | 2,058$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +208.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…4c7bbacked No | 41c | 1,849$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…4828backed No | 1c | 1,766$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 3c | 1,740$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 32cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked No | 5c | 1,678$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a6…6a5dbacked No | 1c | 1,600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…5225backed No | 3c | 1,597$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 36c | 1,525$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.71 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a8…e676backed No | 3c | 1,404$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 2c | 1,297$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 2c | 1,013$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…48c8backed Yes | 64c | 950.18$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…4344backed No | 2c | 926.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…02eabacked No | 10c | 797.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…616ebacked Yes | 65c | 760$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 2c | 687.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 6c | 633$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 2c | 624$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…3fb9backed Yes | 75c | 577$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dd…42f8backed No | 3c | 574.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…8cf9backed No | 28c | 547.27$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…c940backed No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 14c | 497.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…d29ebacked No | 26c | 402.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ce…9c42backed Yes | 64c | 343.59$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…a832backed No | 12c | 299.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf856…e587backed No | 13c | 297.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 16c | 288.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…6ab4backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 27c | 254.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed No | 23c | 253.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8121…37eebacked No | 21c | 252.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…84edbacked Yes | 72c | 231.66$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe637…7fbdbacked No | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…3ceabacked Yes | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d8…5403backed Yes | 49c | 199.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked Yes | 80c | 185.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 63c | 175.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea04…b8c2backed No | 18c | 158.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 18c | 141.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…fc4cbacked No | 35c | 117.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0601backed Yes | 49c | 116.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…6b58backed No | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…1f0bbacked Yes | 49c | 109.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…2885backed No | 12c | 108.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…332ebacked No | 46c | 108.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…ccb9backed No | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…1064backed Yes | 50c | 100.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…04d8backed No | 51c | 100.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad9…ee23backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…09a4backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…1668backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…c0f2backed Yes | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +232.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf24c…32f4backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 51c | 84.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed No | 31c | 83.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 47c | 83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad86…cd10backed Yes | 50c | 78.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 73c | 74.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401b…3107backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +198.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…74fdbacked Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 22c | 59.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +232.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66af…8bbebacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393c…d934backed Yes | 71c | 53.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…2abdbacked No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…8b4fbacked Yes | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…52a9backed Yes | 67c | 42.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…67fabacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556e…9912backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +234.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5459…9b52backed Yes | 67c | 25.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…70febacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…87b6backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Yes | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…0faebacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?this page
- Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?Yes won
- SpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?No won
- SpaceX 7th Starship booster survives re-entry?Yes won
- SpaceX 7th Starship upper stage successful splash down?No won
- SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?No won
- SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 15?No won
- SpaceX Starship 7th launch reaches space?Yes won
- Will Trump attend the launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.