Space · resolved market
SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfc6eb448d09b68ef4402d06267000a86dc0216b5238ad76d5402c500260c279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 35c | 15,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 0c | 9,389$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 25c | 6,426$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…a942backed Yes | 65c | 6,146$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fd…810cbacked Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Yes | 65c | 3,532$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 2c | 3,100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6235…910fbacked No | 33c | 2,776$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +126%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 33c | 2,300$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 10c | 2,067$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 37c | 2,000$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked Yes | 66c | 1,908$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5077backed Yes | 60c | 1,759$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed No | 30c | 1,688$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…b61cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,564$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 29c | 1,478$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…4c7bbacked No | 57c | 1,471$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked Yes | 16c | 1,300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…640dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,265$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…19bcbacked Yes | 44c | 1,200$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 39c | 1,128$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 32cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 26c | 1,113$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…a832backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked No | 30c | 1,000$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 14c | 883.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423b…cb44backed Yes | 65c | 836.77$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e55…41fcbacked Yes | 66c | 833.33$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7f26backed No | 22c | 800$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +205%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed No | 28c | 790.88$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 32c | 684.63$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2152backed Yes | 11c | 621.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 52c | 600$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 76c | 596.36$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…99c9backed No | 62c | 570.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 37c | 534.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc0…cc95backed Yes | 36c | 529$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…02dfbacked No | 30c | 500$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 71c | 478.89$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.79 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Yes | 75c | 461.84$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed No | 40c | 456.93$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 61c | 438$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…3ceebacked Yes | 7c | 435.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ba…6477backed Yes | 65c | 419.36$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…72a1backed No | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc704…65a7backed Yes | 65c | 374.12$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…ca18backed Yes | 73c | 359.63$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f41…7582backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 30c | 345.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.83 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0be…4261backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +156%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…cbe0backed Yes | 67c | 299.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…bf6ebacked Yes | 69c | 277$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…eb03backed No | 36c | 275.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +240%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b8…038abacked No | 42c | 247.61$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…6941backed Yes | 70c | 228.85$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed Yes | 61c | 216.78$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 213.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…3c37backed Yes | 44c | 208.31$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b2…9a83backed No | 28c | 201.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0b…661bbacked Yes | 76c | 197.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6157backed No | 30c | 195.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3465…4b9dbacked Yes | 61c | 172.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…1064backed No | 40c | 172.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7e…441fbacked Yes | 65c | 168.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…5b2cbacked Yes | 68c | 168.05$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 38c | 159.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 63c | 152$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 38c | 149.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 31c | 143.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 18c | 140.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed No | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…1bd7backed No | 42c | 140$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…d26cbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…7b93backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 72c | 122$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed No | 33c | 119.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 29cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc305…a0e0backed Yes | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 47c | 111.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ad…f321backed No | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e2f5backed No | 29c | 102.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…eacfbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95e6…1d2bbacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3e03backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1876…6799backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…f100backed Yes | 74c | 96.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 41c | 86.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…6c36backed No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc64…95ddbacked No | 39c | 80.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…9e7bbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…c8bcbacked Yes | 64c | 80.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f0…577cbacked Yes | 61c | 80.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…a675backed Yes | 72c | 75.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…4867backed Yes | 65c | 71.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Yes | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b94…88c4backed Yes | 61c | 68.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?this page
- Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?Yes won
- SpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?No won
- SpaceX 7th Starship booster survives re-entry?Yes won
- SpaceX 7th Starship upper stage successful splash down?No won
- SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?Yes won
- SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 15?No won
- SpaceX Starship 7th launch reaches space?Yes won
- Will Trump attend the launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.