Us Politics · resolved market

Will Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9064450cd512c4ea072ef54142ad61098daeec4cd1dda3b6d1a62ac53ad9d08

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $176,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $154,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,373 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	0c	10,125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	0%0 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	4c	6,868$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.89	385	9.4%36 W · 349 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fec…4cafbacked Yes	2c	5,639$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.99	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-85.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	1c	4,609$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.23	74	20.3%15 W · 59 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f33…89cfbacked No	54c	4,203$2,281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,922.13	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06c8…ce75backed Yes	1c	4,160$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…33ccbacked Yes	68c	3,158$2,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,135.53	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd7…eb50backed Yes	23c	3,143$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.3	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-27%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes	64c	3,132$2,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,007.34	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed No	78c	2,727$2,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.29	151	55%83 W · 68 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ba…eea1backed Yes	56c	2,593$1,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,461.97	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd191…a5cbbacked Yes	2c	2,540$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed No	35c	2,460$860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,599.59	156	46.8%73 W · 83 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d9…0e65backed Yes	62c	2,375$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,472.88	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x049a…b22abacked Yes	18c	2,200$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…05e9backed No	44c	2,191$967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,224.18	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x579e…eda1backed Yes	34c	2,111$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.74	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	86	15.1%13 W · 73 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf4a6…d07bbacked Yes	2c	1,846$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a3a…ee52backed No	38c	1,620$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,009.84	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.15per pick	22cpaid	+68.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes	8c	1,507$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.6	148	43.2%64 W · 84 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a3…eb9cbacked Yes	2c	1,503$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.64	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b35…bbc6backed Yes	3c	1,491$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes	1c	1,396$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+4.3wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2139…4b34backed No	55c	1,373$761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.96	86	32.6%28 W · 58 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	57c	1,243$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.89	103	24.3%25 W · 78 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x003e…fc58backed Yes	10c	1,101$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.55	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d26…ddacbacked Yes	4c	1,076$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3709…3d7ebacked Yes	1c	1,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.38	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f4…d060backed Yes	2c	1,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2131…cf3cbacked Yes	11c	930.99$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.15	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb293…6d52backed No	33c	900.75$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.75	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x849d…766bbacked Yes	2c	876$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0022…72d5backed Yes	59c	847.17$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+102%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa075…7d2bbacked Yes	12c	842.02$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc134…a150backed Yes	8c	714.87$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No	7c	674.28$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$627.08	165	35.8%59 W · 106 L	+18.3wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+86.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes	56c	670$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes	4c	625.9$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	11cpaid	-77.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2730…63eebacked Yes	11c	588.06$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.67	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes	52c	587.57$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.41	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa386…a3aebacked Yes	48c	585.36$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.3	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f06…6203backed Yes	73c	544.86$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1085…2d69backed Yes	73c	542.06$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.02	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	50c	530.03$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.46	375	33.3%125 W · 250 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x966a…4d34backed No	64c	525.81$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.71	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53a8…4b54backed Yes	12c	478.25$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.39	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	11c	464.68$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.62	996	29.5%294 W · 702 L	-73.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe4a…ac42backed No	32c	407.94$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.4	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffc…8236backed Yes	52c	400$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Yes	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Yes	11c	362.69$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.63	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-56%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae43…8194backed Yes	51c	337.2$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.6	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe480…520bbacked Yes	60c	332.15$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed No	71c	316.88$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.24	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04fc…b9b1backed No	51c	300$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+82.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed No	30c	291.61$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.6	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	64c	282.83$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.88	963	19.8%191 W · 772 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc099…2ea5backed Yes	26c	273.88$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	18cpaid	+60.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8948…28d5backed Yes	68c	261.1$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.78	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-78.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes	12c	251.57$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.27	303	19.1%58 W · 245 L	-20.6wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a90…265dbacked Yes	7c	250$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	64c	243.45$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.44	377	40.6%153 W · 224 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes	30c	235.42$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.77	100	35%35 W · 65 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Yes	34c	220.56$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.06	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5066…e914backed Yes	50c	201.3$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.65	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ac…d62cbacked Yes	64c	200$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd64a…2fa2backed No	50c	199.99$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.99	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x501c…f2cabacked Yes	61c	197.27$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7737…e497backed Yes	48c	196.89$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.51	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c7e…80c2backed Yes	38c	187.5$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.2	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…3e88backed Yes	11c	179.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8a3…cd82backed No	47c	174.53$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.5	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x085d…67aebacked Yes	12c	167.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes	52c	167.28$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.07	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51d7…c725backed Yes	13c	160.56$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf321…a368backed Yes	7c	160$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes	39c	160$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	59	22%13 W · 46 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0566…fdc2backed Yes	64c	146.05$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1067…cdeabacked No	48c	144.35$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.06	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	41c	142.01$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.45	1,073	35.5%381 W · 692 L	-70.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No	57c	139.72$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.58	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c68…ec39backed No	37c	133.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.5	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+54.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa34…66fbbacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74ba…dbc7backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1246…6192backed Yes	50c	121.91$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.47	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5a…917ebacked No	46c	120$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.8	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	51c	120$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.4	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked No	35c	112$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.8	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e42…7ef7backed Yes	64c	108.83$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e71…81d1backed Yes	65c	107.61$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	41cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f37…b248backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d1…3841backed Yes	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e73…6697backed No	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	193	48.2%93 W · 100 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.5	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed6…58b9backed Yes	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.8	47	74.5%35 W · 12 L	+7.4wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb500…9c3dbacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-57%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x512c…4206backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Yes	66c	96.97$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?this page
Will Donald Trump issue 25-49 executive orders in his first week?Yes won
Will Donald Trump issue 50-74 executive orders in his first week?No won
Will Donald Trump issue 75-99 executive orders in his first week?No won
Will Donald Trump issue less than 25 executive orders in his first week?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event