Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump issue 25-49 executive orders in his first week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8355f454f28e23171a2b27d491cadc12195633816067cf36399db9ca0d2680e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked No | 4c | 5,081$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.96 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 74c | 3,870$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.92 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb285…40b8backed No | 24c | 2,752$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 15c | 1,662$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Yes | 68c | 1,560$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed Yes | 8c | 1,342$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 12c | 1,312$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.3 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed Yes | 38c | 1,070$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.36 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…265dbacked No | 32c | 914.91$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.42 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a3…eb9cbacked No | 14c | 753$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 7c | 750$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.5 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 13c | 746.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed No | 42c | 710.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…11edbacked No | 8c | 666.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 80c | 626.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.13 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 24c | 596.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes | 76c | 564.79$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 78c | 537.49$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.26 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 8c | 528.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 11c | 523.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.81 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 57c | 438.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.59 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 10c | 408.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.96 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes | 15c | 404.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.07 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 33c | 390$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.85 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…d07bbacked No | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Yes | 43c | 311$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 76c | 307.25$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…b7cfbacked Yes | 10c | 307$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.3 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e55…41fcbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…d035backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…0e3bbacked No | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 63c | 200.8$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 50c | 200.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…7a87backed Yes | 15c | 198.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…2acbbacked No | 7c | 194.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 41c | 175$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…146dbacked Yes | 69c | 173$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…d87bbacked Yes | 15c | 170$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2c…0bbdbacked Yes | 9c | 162$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 65c | 151.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…b6eebacked No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 29c | 120.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked No | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe199…56a2backed Yes | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ec…6b3bbacked No | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…4f3abacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe261…0c64backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 40c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20fd…ebe4backed Yes | 59c | 81.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…4b54backed Yes | 74c | 80.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…c64dbacked No | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Yes | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…c644backed No | 34c | 76.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Yes | 69c | 76.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 83 | 77.1%64 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc8…48dfbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0c…ddf3backed No | 17c | 67.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…a1b5backed Yes | 38c | 62.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…6998backed Yes | 63c | 60.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…bb92backed No | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a71…0f0fbacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da0…e30abacked Yes | 59c | 59.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa671…bbc6backed No | 18c | 58.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…7d06backed No | 43c | 54.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…1141backed No | 39c | 52.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 35c | 50.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…eeaebacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…3405backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…1ee2backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 78c | 41.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfd…a368backed Yes | 67c | 39.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d0…825cbacked Yes | 79c | 39.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…5254backed Yes | 68c | 38.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc937…45bfbacked Yes | 80c | 35.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…58aebacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Yes | 60c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…7aa1backed No | 42c | 30.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc3…fc61backed Yes | 79c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…c725backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f49…9850backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…f7cbbacked Yes | 62c | 24.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…1d10backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +278.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…47e4backed Yes | 62c | 18.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…15a6backed Yes | 61c | 17.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…214fbacked Yes | 63c | 17.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4843…4fdcbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump issue 25-49 executive orders in his first week?this page
- Will Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?No won
- Will Donald Trump issue 50-74 executive orders in his first week?No won
- Will Donald Trump issue 75-99 executive orders in his first week?No won
- Will Donald Trump issue less than 25 executive orders in his first week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.