NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaec83654eda585a04274429ec9af20e10614a95f91ffc17eb23456525f9937ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Sabres, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3cb…d41ebacked Sabres | 41c | 81,176$33,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,282.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…7e48backed Red Wings | 59c | 81,176$47,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,282.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Red Wings | 59c | 9,856$5,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.79 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres | 41c | 7,904$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.65 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Red Wings | 59c | 5,324$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres | 1c | 5,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Sabres | 41c | 4,484$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.23 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Red Wings | 70c | 4,081$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.12 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 43c | 2,400$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Sabres | 40c | 2,064$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.6 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Red Wings | 69c | 1,809$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.99 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sabres | 41c | 1,768$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.64 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,766$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.3 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Sabres | 41c | 1,700$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.96 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Red Wings | 58c | 1,502$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Sabres | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Red Wings | 59c | 1,438$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.52 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…160fbacked Sabres | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…10c9backed Red Wings | 59c | 1,386$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sabres | 41c | 1,365$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.25 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9002…b95bbacked Sabres | 43c | 1,333$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe654…b727backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,306$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Red Wings | 60c | 1,179$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.77 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sabres | 40c | 600$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Sabres | 42c | 573.29$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Wings | 60c | 499.96$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.94 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ce…7b13backed Sabres | 43c | 479$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Sabres | 6c | 464.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Red Wings | 60c | 450.17$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.07 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sabres | 41c | 437$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.17 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Red Wings | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 44c | 405$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.87 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…48abbacked Sabres | 5c | 373.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 38c | 360.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.87 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Sabres | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Sabres | 33c | 334.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Red Wings | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5b3ebacked Sabres | 42c | 296$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0c07backed Red Wings | 58c | 296$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004b…004abacked Red Wings | 58c | 280$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5d…37cdbacked Sabres | 42c | 280$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Red Wings | 66c | 278$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…03b7backed Sabres | 42c | 275$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…454abacked Red Wings | 58c | 275$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Red Wings | 60c | 266.88$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sabres | 40c | 261$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6800…5cf5backed Red Wings | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94c7…ae99backed Red Wings | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…4ac3backed Sabres | 42c | 260$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…1a9dbacked Sabres | 42c | 248$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bd…6e0cbacked Red Wings | 56c | 236$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…9463backed Sabres | 44c | 236$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…a0a0backed Red Wings | 56c | 236$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Sabres | 42c | 235.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Sabres | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Red Wings | 59c | 220.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Sabres | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.37per pick | 44cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…e9c2backed Red Wings | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Red Wings | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…7a24backed Red Wings | 56c | 187$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…1362backed Red Wings | 58c | 181.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Sabres | 39c | 177.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Red Wings | 59c | 177.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Wings | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Red Wings | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…51efbacked Sabres | 44c | 168$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x894a…793fbacked Red Wings | 56c | 168$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…2498backed Sabres | 42c | 161$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…90c1backed Sabres | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…91f4backed Red Wings | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3251…9963backed Sabres | 41c | 133.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424a…55cfbacked Sabres | 43c | 130.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9d…fc4ebacked Sabres | 41c | 127.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…f310backed Sabres | 41c | 124.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sabres | 45c | 112.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf4…665ebacked Red Wings | 58c | 111$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…fcf1backed Sabres | 42c | 111$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…26dabacked Sabres | 28c | 106.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…38a7backed Red Wings | 60c | 100.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Wings | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Red Wings | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Sabres | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Sabres | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Red Wings | 56c | 99.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…34e6backed Red Wings | 59c | 97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Red Wings | 80c | 94.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489f…aadfbacked Red Wings | 60c | 94.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…b57cbacked Red Wings | 60c | 91.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9e…8393backed Red Wings | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b96bbacked Red Wings | 60c | 88.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Sabres | 40c | 86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…a350backed Red Wings | 60c | 85.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…d8d2backed Red Wings | 60c | 84.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Red Wings | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…6a2abacked Red Wings | 60c | 83.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Sabres | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…b1fdbacked Sabres | 42c | 77.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Sabres | 43c | 76.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.