TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Canadiens, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,063 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc338…d660backed Oilers68c10,600$7,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,392250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb6c…2df8backed Canadiens32c7,800$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens32c6,635$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.61,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Canadiens40c3,571$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.5111051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Canadiens33c3,050$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.52416.7%4 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-61.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Oilers67c2,940$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.29459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oilers62c2,853$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.863,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33e5…5e20backed Canadiens32c2,800$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers67c2,604$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.8392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers68c2,400$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.991,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens32c2,363$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.2270249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Canadiens31c2,100$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6511,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Oilers70c1,895$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.4532331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Oilers68c1,550$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49620147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc5…63c0backed Canadiens32c1,536$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.471241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b2…f8d4backed Oilers68c1,532$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.241060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9244…b955backed Oilers68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb37c…164ebacked Canadiens32c1,498$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.361741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Oilers58c1,279$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.2744848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Canadiens40c1,000$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Oilers68c998.59$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.0985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Oilers69c871$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.011361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers62c779.7$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.611,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Oilers68c755.88$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8831753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Canadiens24c700$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16628542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Oilers62c695.66$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.6314844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers68c655$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.675155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…6fd0backed Canadiens33c420$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.62619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e20…fd40backed Canadiens33c409.95$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.355429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057f…684dbacked Canadiens32c407$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7a…0162backed Oilers68c407$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Oilers62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152147.1%1 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.37per pick44cpaid-88.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7dde…2f8fbacked Oilers68c399$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2a…2eecbacked Canadiens32c399$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.68520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d93…751abacked Canadiens31c389$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59b7…ec18backed Oilers69c389$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b8…d3e7backed Canadiens32c381.47$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde3f…7da7backed Oilers68c380$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e15…c621backed Oilers68c378$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a5…a0bcbacked Canadiens32c378$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5b…6bc7backed Canadiens31c370$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-71.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe88a…195dbacked Oilers69c370$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd392…2ee4backed Oilers68c366$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78e…f232backed Canadiens32c366$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff22…500ebacked Canadiens31c365$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.15650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2306…d8ccbacked Oilers69c365$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3868…3efcbacked Canadiens31c356$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1434…7508backed Oilers69c356$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0153…6efbbacked Canadiens31c341$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.71650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c6…4499backed Oilers69c341$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Canadiens44c339.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Canadiens32c332.56$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1074045%18 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x101f…de6bbacked Canadiens32c329$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc76…f6fdbacked Oilers68c329$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers68c323.28$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3147…469fbacked Canadiens31c320$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.260%0 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf65…daacbacked Oilers69c318.55$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.756100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+109.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd856…7439backed Canadiens31c316$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.96520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdac4…deebbacked Oilers69c316$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc420…3769backed Oilers68c315$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbda7…2f58backed Canadiens32c315$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Oilers67c315$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9532251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc3c…238bbacked Oilers68c310$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Canadiens42c310$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.26246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ade…5b61backed Canadiens32c310$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efb…cfd0backed Canadiens31c307$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.17540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda6…5e58backed Oilers69c307$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623a…31bdbacked Oilers69c306$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+81.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2e2…cda0backed Canadiens31c306$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1203…2cd2backed Canadiens33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Oilers70c286.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5958467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xeaff…4c58backed Canadiens31c280$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x699c…8ad7backed Oilers69c280$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Canadiens42c270$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.46437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fa1…0c4bbacked Oilers68c270$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe215…08a7backed Canadiens32c270$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Oilers62c261.29$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.292948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc310…4d92backed Canadiens32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d4c…0327backed Oilers68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef9…6a99backed Oilers68c240$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…2608backed Canadiens32c240$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Canadiens42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006936.2%25 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Canadiens47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Oilers68c203.52$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.568870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Canadiens32c199.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canadiens27c189.16$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8969…a656backed Canadiens40c174$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2d…bf24backed Canadiens32c170$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-53.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a2e…4451backed Oilers68c170$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers70c142.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.951,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37b…3802backed Canadiens34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb4…e810backed Canadiens38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f46…c3c0backed Oilers60c115$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc103…81e8backed Oilers62c112.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe8…83e0backed Canadiens40c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf09…ac98backed Canadiens41c109.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked Oilers69c108.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.74355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Canadiens31c102.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd13d…3083backed Canadiens32c102$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.