NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24e37c708fbc5c1425cb9b3e20751a3864c5cbb43e4d30c36b2e71913d1ea972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Hurricanes, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hurricanes | 3c | 11,359$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.69 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Capitals | 41c | 4,333$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.82 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hurricanes | 1c | 3,278$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hurricanes | 7c | 2,271$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.17 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Capitals | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.97 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Hurricanes | 57c | 1,694$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.66 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hurricanes | 17c | 1,400$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.96 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 1,066$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.31 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hurricanes | 59c | 1,000$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.66 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Hurricanes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Hurricanes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Capitals | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…efefbacked Hurricanes | 59c | 499.8$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…f260backed Capitals | 51c | 494.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Capitals | 43c | 443.18$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.61 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1caa…8176backed Hurricanes | 60c | 415.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…c402backed Capitals | 68c | 398.53$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…9d76backed Hurricanes | 69c | 388.52$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…d7ebbacked Hurricanes | 56c | 359.97$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcd…4fbdbacked Capitals | 70c | 357.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8a…2cfabacked Hurricanes | 71c | 352.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…0671backed Hurricanes | 58c | 320.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -10.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Hurricanes | 56c | 305.71$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.2 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f6…1cedbacked Hurricanes | 61c | 294.75$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Capitals | 69c | 290.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Capitals | 43c | 258.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.14 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003e…7956backed Capitals | 45c | 228.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…a62abacked Hurricanes | 56c | 228.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6099…0b10backed Hurricanes | 56c | 226.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…8845backed Capitals | 45c | 226.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hurricanes | 58c | 224.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Capitals | 45c | 221.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Hurricanes | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Capitals | 64c | 204.21$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…04dfbacked Capitals | 44c | 202.79$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hurricanes | 32c | 200.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Capitals | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hurricanes | 56c | 196.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Hurricanes | 17c | 175.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 42c | 173.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 173.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe683…71e6backed Hurricanes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…5464backed Hurricanes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9f…a3c7backed Capitals | 42c | 169.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Hurricanes | 60c | 166.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 31c | 153.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.85 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4a…5209backed Hurricanes | 57c | 132.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…9d66backed Capitals | 44c | 131.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Capitals | 40c | 125.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Hurricanes | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Hurricanes | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x148c…1ddebacked Hurricanes | 57c | 114.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Capitals | 64c | 113.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…553abacked Capitals | 45c | 112.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Capitals | 41c | 111$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…ea58backed Hurricanes | 57c | 103.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa0…5601backed Capitals | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb5…b365backed Hurricanes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf13…8e81backed Capitals | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c89…af9fbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 99.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 43c | 99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…61a1backed Hurricanes | 57c | 97.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Hurricanes | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…5123backed Hurricanes | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Capitals | 45c | 89.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Capitals | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6faa…5a5bbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…86a0backed Capitals | 45c | 86.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec8…2302backed Capitals | 45c | 84.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…f1e8backed Hurricanes | 60c | 83.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…1138backed Hurricanes | 13c | 83.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Capitals | 56c | 76.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…9367backed Hurricanes | 58c | 69.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 68.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Capitals | 41c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x181b…002fbacked Capitals | 45c | 67.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefcf…084ebacked Capitals | 43c | 63.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hurricanes | 56c | 62.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801c…a025backed Capitals | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Capitals | 37c | 55.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd918…a40bbacked Hurricanes | 57c | 54.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…3797backed Hurricanes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Capitals | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…0365backed Hurricanes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…aaaebacked Capitals | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…91b2backed Capitals | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…efe0backed Capitals | 44c | 47.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f807backed Hurricanes | 57c | 46.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d7…b087backed Hurricanes | 56c | 46.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…4193backed Capitals | 45c | 46.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…d18dbacked Capitals | 43c | 45.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…15c0backed Hurricanes | 61c | 45.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Capitals | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…29bcbacked Capitals | 44c | 42.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fe…4389backed Hurricanes | 56c | 42.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…a75dbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 42.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…7ec9backed Capitals | 46c | 42.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.