TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$427,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$474,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eb4…5821backed Yes70c154,000$107,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,200475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick74cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…a64abacked No30c154,000$46,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No1c59,573$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.7239842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed No31c32,378$10,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,084.632138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No33c17,030$5,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,675.895853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Yes72c14,114$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.031353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No31c11,803$3,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,657.0412359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c9d…68dcbacked Yes67c9,611$6,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,205.74966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes69c7,693$5,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.4312921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes70c7,112$4,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.8120462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No26c6,952$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.5536851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No28c5,039$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.365754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes70c4,522$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.4425450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No28c4,401$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.0320948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Yes70c3,837$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.643040%12 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf745…d12cbacked Yes75c3,791$2,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes71c3,779$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.7912862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No29c3,050$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f6…e0a1backed Yes69c2,848$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3483…cdabbacked Yes71c2,657$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.67366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No29c2,332$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.119244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No30c2,314$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.138748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No28c2,139$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes73c2,000$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes68c1,914$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x542b…4b76backed No19c1,900$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.51020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-69.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes71c1,831$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.994544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes67c1,758$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.0915250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes67c1,636$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.88040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ee…3605backed No30c1,498$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aed…a933backed Yes70c1,498$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No32c1,457$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.213538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e27…143ebacked Yes69c1,451$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Yes70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.571330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.451735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.451338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes69c1,400$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43824742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c2…553abacked Yes75c1,330$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.62366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed No27c1,327$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.31825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdae0…e1ecbacked Yes71c1,308$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Yes73c1,300$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3511233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes70c1,225$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.51855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No29c1,084$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.3716836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No31c998.82$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.635448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Yes71c965$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.85850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd2…fec8backed Yes72c953.56$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No2c904.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Yes69c868.13$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.124062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ba4…dd66backed Yes70c844.5$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x242c…75bebacked No30c844.5$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.3540%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Yes71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eba…217ebacked Yes68c776.24$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.963043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No28c745.33$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9346956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No27c708.48$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.626955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.237737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes68c589.09$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.512962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+59%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes72c572.22$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.22560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed No6c555.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.331656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+38.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1554351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd0…f582backed Yes69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503525.7%9 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No33c499.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes71c474.93$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.738638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No27c454.07$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.69350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes69c450$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked No31c449.58$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.271643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes69c441.22$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7816447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad1…b2f4backed Yes71c432.61$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No25c427.78$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.879952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes71c422.54$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3420133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No5c380$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.49341.9%39 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ba…7f3cbacked No30c333.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes70c333.14$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.942544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35a0…97d9backed Yes72c321.04$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb29e…b427backed Yes71c313.6$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes71c311.89$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.274060%24 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Yes70c308.79$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.645759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff1…2890backed Yes69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+81.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.866170.5%43 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed No30c285.51$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.652835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed Yes71c282.94$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.051145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36ce…8520backed Yes70c280.23$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.07540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0623…35dbbacked Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.78825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Yes70c262.9$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.872948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ba…044cbacked No26c261.15$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf41…7559backed No30c259.03$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d3…a474backed No27c258.38$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8511443%49 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No28c237$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7915153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafbd…8cb1backed Yes74c227.74$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.211457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes71c218.66$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4113139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd39…b24cbacked Yes72c216.68$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38bc…c0a2backed Yes71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397f…c0edbacked Yes73c209.29$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.511353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes71c202.54$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.742254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8228357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6234449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes69c179.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.14032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.