MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eb039498f8f71b9606a631f280f2968b4caa5291dcf02969fe401104e123ae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 20,914$5,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,437.94 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed New York Yankees | 58c | 19,503$11,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,169.74 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 10,278$4,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.08 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…96ebbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 5,169$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,000$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.18 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 1,052$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.13 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 886.41$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.29 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 755$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.75 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New York Yankees | 54c | 742.42$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.02 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 8c | 487$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 340.24$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 282.4$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 244.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 214.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…1e8abacked New York Yankees | 55c | 197.22$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked New York Yankees | 55c | 182.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc0…cc95backed New York Yankees | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 165.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…32f5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 136.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked New York Yankees | 54c | 125.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed New York Yankees | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 69.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed New York Yankees | 54c | 57.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed New York Yankees | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed New York Yankees | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed New York Yankees | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…c7a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 33.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.