NFL · resolved market

Coin Toss: Heads or Tails?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf06edd5750493b217628bb6c0a405656331b9ee361079e752e4f5aa9e00b934c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Tailsof Heads, Tails
Resolved: Feb 9, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $48,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,445 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb1a2…372abacked Heads	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.99	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6b5…6bdcbacked Tails	51c	4,902$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,401.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Tails	50c	4,783$2,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,391.33	251	37.5%94 W · 157 L	-18.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Tails	50c	3,907$1,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,953.36	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc96a…396abacked Heads	49c	3,364$1,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,648.19	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x624a…901fbacked Heads	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	29cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Tails	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Heads	50c	1,125$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.5	67	34.3%23 W · 44 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Tails	50c	1,005$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.5	67	52.2%35 W · 32 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked Heads	50c	1,000$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.22	130	24.6%32 W · 98 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Tails	51c	1,000$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.3	293	56%164 W · 129 L	+14.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Tails	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	103	34%35 W · 68 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff76…9c05backed Heads	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	+104%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Tails	51c	600$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	158	51.9%82 W · 76 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87f4…49e7backed Heads	49c	599.93$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.97	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed Tails	50c	594$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4c4…8441backed Tails	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-22%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01f0…f002backed Heads	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Tails	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	181	44.8%81 W · 100 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34d3…99f5backed Heads	50c	392$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Tails	50c	370.49$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.25	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c63…8974backed Heads	50c	350$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc822…c185backed Heads	50c	333.99$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.39	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6df…ae66backed Heads	50c	299.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Heads	50c	276.99$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.49	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…9d86backed Tails	50c	250$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa588…dad8backed Heads	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Tails	51c	246.08$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.08	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Heads	49c	243.14$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.14	207	36.2%75 W · 132 L	-13.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd73…3cc4backed Heads	51c	237.94$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.27	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Heads	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Tails	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	41cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Tails	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Tails	50c	196.96$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.5	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7af…c035backed Heads	51c	196.18$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c91…fd02backed Heads	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Tails	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa899…3802backed Tails	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…2b52backed Tails	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	28cpaid	-72%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Heads	50c	178.12$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.06	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf4…3ea5backed Tails	50c	161.9$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.95	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…0e9bbacked Tails	51c	160.91$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.85	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Heads	49c	141$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.09	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Heads	50c	141$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	224	46.4%104 W · 120 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4298…f07dbacked Heads	51c	117.65$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	41cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Tails	51c	103.04$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.54	54	24.1%13 W · 41 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e0…f11cbacked Tails	50c	100.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.17	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	19cpaid	-84.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Heads	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	162	26.5%43 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…7badbacked Tails	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d0…059abacked Tails	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Heads	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	196	45.4%89 W · 107 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Tails	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd249…6a1dbacked Tails	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa311…5b6ebacked Heads	50c	99.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7b…04d8backed Tails	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.23per pick	30cpaid	-86%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Tails	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a2…4123backed Heads	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcce7…dbedbacked Heads	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x214d…8911backed Heads	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2cd…da1cbacked Tails	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Heads	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.25per pick	36cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf5…3e16backed Tails	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac1…b2a7backed Tails	51c	89.27$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09a3…8874backed Heads	50c	84$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca9…a481backed Tails	50c	82$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.63per pick	38cpaid	+200%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc576…027dbacked Tails	51c	77.8$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.12	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54bc…89ebbacked Heads	50c	76.88$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.44	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b6…e01dbacked Heads	51c	68.92$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcd…df2abacked Tails	51c	68.63$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.63	70	64.3%45 W · 25 L	+7.3wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa151…660bbacked Tails	51c	68.63$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.63	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-51%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…8559backed Heads	51c	68.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c72…1e3abacked Tails	51c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb71a…6fc9backed Heads	51c	59.65$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.42	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-4.1wins	-0.28per pick	34cpaid	-86.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0e5d…5598backed Tails	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9ea…7d1ebacked Heads	51c	57.07$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Heads	51c	56.86$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Tails	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	284	33.1%94 W · 190 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf918…81f9backed Tails	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed01…c344backed Heads	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x856f…f9b5backed Heads	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1255…d4c4backed Tails	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Heads	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	82	50%41 W · 41 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f55…580cbacked Heads	50c	39.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x189e…bd24backed Heads	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6920…eca0backed Heads	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	31cpaid	-66%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e01…c1f9backed Heads	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Heads	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e2b…8fa0backed Heads	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x58e1…553dbacked Tails	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b4e…8e6fbacked Tails	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa754…447bbacked Heads	50c	34.94$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.47	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…ce58backed Tails	51c	34.84$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.07	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc2…1e6ebacked Tails	51c	34.16$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.74	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4324…c65dbacked Heads	50c	34.1$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x168b…e9c8backed Heads	51c	33.55$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…29e2backed Heads	51c	32.79$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe92d…8546backed Tails	51c	32.67$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.01	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-51%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70d0…a6babacked Heads	50c	32.46$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x135a…3b1dbacked Tails	51c	32.04$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.7	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3233…63e7backed Heads	51c	31.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Coin Toss: Heads or Tails?this page
Who will win the Coin Toss: Chiefs or Eagles?Chiefs won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Coin Toss: Heads or Tails?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event