NFL · resolved market
Ravens vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fbc372d5574c3b0fd007f292df7855a76948768149f2a2574e065c4798bb753
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Ravens, Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,346,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,778,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,346,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fb8…e817backed Ravens | 52c | 263,137$137,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,159.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…3ae9backed Bills | 49c | 144,759$71,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,367.9 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Ravens | 39c | 143,847$55,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,876.85 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Ravens | 44c | 142,692$62,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,596.63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Bills | 50c | 130,000$64,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,038.29 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Bills | 78c | 90,490$70,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,737.71 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Ravens | 53c | 87,659$46,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,459.1 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Bills | 56c | 84,393$47,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,240.7 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Ravens | 19c | 83,394$15,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,975.28 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…53c8backed Bills | 49c | 51,021$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,020.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Bills | 52c | 50,937$26,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,691.99 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ravens | 4c | 50,457$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.28 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Ravens | 50c | 44,800$22,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,533.24 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Bills | 48c | 41,151$19,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,398.44 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Bills | 80c | 36,779$29,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,366.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Ravens | 52c | 35,551$18,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,486.43 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…bd2abacked Ravens | 53c | 28,197$14,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,885.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Ravens | 51c | 26,500$13,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,514.95 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Ravens | 51c | 26,327$13,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,329.53 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Bills | 66c | 25,910$17,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,840.25 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Ravens | 28c | 24,420$6,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,755.69 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e954backed Ravens | 54c | 24,121$12,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,989.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Bills | 76c | 23,620$17,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,783.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Ravens | 52c | 21,587$11,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,225 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Bills | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.6 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Ravens | 1c | 20,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.52 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Bills | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Ravens | 51c | 20,000$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,099.93 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Ravens | 53c | 19,972$10,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,585.41 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Ravens | 30c | 15,562$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,688.39 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Ravens | 52c | 15,555$8,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,088.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Ravens | 35c | 15,203$5,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,328.01 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…1834backed Ravens | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Ravens | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.87 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Ravens | 4c | 13,712$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.43 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.28per pick | 34cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…67b6backed Ravens | 30c | 12,731$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,818.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Bills | 49c | 11,604$5,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,918.08 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ravens | 53c | 11,015$5,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,837.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Bills | 47c | 11,000$5,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,775.07 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Bills | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Ravens | 52c | 9,607$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Bills | 49c | 9,592$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,891.84 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Bills | 47c | 9,250$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,902.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Bills | 47c | 9,063$4,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.08 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4feb…dd3bbacked Bills | 80c | 9,057$7,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Bills | 69c | 8,553$5,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.95 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Ravens | 17c | 7,940$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.17 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Ravens | 52c | 7,908$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.06 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bills | 60c | 7,555$4,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.92 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…75f6backed Ravens | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ravens | 52c | 6,832$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.64 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bills | 44c | 6,651$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.45 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990f…7507backed Ravens | 44c | 6,629$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Bills | 46c | 6,500$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Ravens | 5c | 6,467$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.37 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Ravens | 44c | 6,255$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.58 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Bills | 48c | 6,198$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,223.16 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Bills | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Ravens | 35c | 5,853$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.72 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…74bbbacked Bills | 60c | 5,648$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Bills | 50c | 5,526$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.5 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe740…1ae1backed Ravens | 52c | 5,357$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Ravens | 52c | 5,189$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.29 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed Ravens | 21c | 5,185$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.15 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Ravens | 16c | 5,140$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Bills | 47c | 4,856$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.12 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Ravens | 10c | 4,813$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.34 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Ravens | 42c | 4,778$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…cefebacked Ravens | 1c | 4,745$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Bills | 72c | 4,662$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Bills | 69c | 4,253$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.48 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…3b18backed Ravens | 10c | 4,196$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Ravens | 20c | 4,084$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.95 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Bills | 60c | 4,022$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.09 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…1067backed Bills | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Ravens | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.93 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ravens | 35c | 3,965$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.58 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875a…4290backed Ravens | 39c | 3,876$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…1845backed Ravens | 42c | 3,763$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Bills | 62c | 3,673$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.91 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Ravens | 53c | 3,656$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.99 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…bc7fbacked Ravens | 53c | 3,592$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…75cfbacked Bills | 49c | 3,530$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.28 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Bills | 49c | 3,455$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…ea24backed Ravens | 41c | 3,226$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…b18cbacked Ravens | 36c | 3,138$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Bills | 49c | 3,086$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Ravens | 33c | 3,081$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.82 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Ravens | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…b5e1backed Bills | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Ravens | 19c | 2,939$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.07 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…1b36backed Bills | 57c | 2,928$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Bills | 65c | 2,768$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.4 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…f6d0backed Bills | 49c | 2,700$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed Bills | 57c | 2,679$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.16 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Ravens | 27c | 2,644$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.92 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bills | 56c | 2,632$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.47 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Bills | 67c | 2,612$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.15 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…9d0abacked Bills | 50c | 2,609$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde78…7a53backed Ravens | 52c | 2,544$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.