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College Football · resolved market

Minnesota vs. Virginia Tech

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesotaof Minnesota, Virginia Tech
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d45…b661backed Virginia Tech1c21,959$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.245520%11 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Virginia Tech16c4,173$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.562213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-77.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Minnesota59c3,650$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.4939954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Minnesota79c3,166$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.573764.9%24 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Virginia Tech22c3,001$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.4639847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Minnesota73c2,617$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.9120039.5%79 W · 121 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…9661backed Virginia Tech1c2,516$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.551435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Virginia Tech21c2,489$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.639843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b9c…57b3backed Minnesota78c2,420$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.431172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+46.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Virginia Tech21c2,136$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.584839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Virginia Tech1c2,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-94.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Virginia Tech21c1,911$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.1420341.9%85 W · 118 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Virginia Tech8c1,720$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9712857%73 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Virginia Tech31c1,714$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.07825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-61.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Minnesota77c1,506$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.29580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Minnesota79c1,460$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.791361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Virginia Tech16c1,266$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.082147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Virginia Tech21c1,206$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.2186243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Minnesota76c1,170$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.838942.7%38 W · 51 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Minnesota78c1,099$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.771241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Virginia Tech1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Virginia Tech24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Minnesota75c927.79$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.984445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Minnesota79c914.58$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.62744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Virginia Tech24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Virginia Tech5c788.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Virginia Tech30c780$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2343066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb54e…8f34backed Minnesota75c700$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1772642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Virginia Tech51c695.18$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.663941%16 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Virginia Tech7c681.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Virginia Tech23c648.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ec…fdc0backed Virginia Tech8c637.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b26…8640backed Minnesota78c600$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Virginia Tech19c570.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104450%22 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Minnesota69c545.76$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.623542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Virginia Tech3c529.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.234129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Virginia Tech23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b61…78e8backed Minnesota19c500$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick10cpaid+1,186.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Virginia Tech28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011839%46 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Virginia Tech22c490$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.81921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Virginia Tech19c465.67$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.916170.5%43 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Virginia Tech22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cc…60f0backed Virginia Tech22c414.18$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Minnesota68c400$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1304100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf1…7fc8backed Minnesota79c377.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.671580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Virginia Tech18c376.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.35339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb956…c475backed Virginia Tech27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.34per pick43cpaid-83%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Minnesota79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636354%34 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Minnesota78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663076.7%23 W · 7 L+5.8wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Minnesota68c300$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f05…8ad8backed Minnesota77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Minnesota76c250$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.987653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4ae…36ddbacked Virginia Tech27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Virginia Tech23c203.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.711338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Minnesota79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4218858%109 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Virginia Tech16c192.52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1212816.4%21 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e55…f741backed Virginia Tech16c170$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65dc…0b11backed Virginia Tech20c164.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.311526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Virginia Tech12c159.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.992326.1%6 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Virginia Tech19c159$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.212842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Virginia Tech19c152.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295738.6%22 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Minnesota76c149.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cc0…cc95backed Virginia Tech27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd95…6290backed Virginia Tech21c143.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Virginia Tech24c143.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357414.9%11 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Minnesota58c140$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.42748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Virginia Tech23c133.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.62433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9a07…7768backed Minnesota77c129.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x870c…b309backed Minnesota77c127.27$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Minnesota80c124.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258078.8%63 W · 17 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Virginia Tech21c120.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.98229.1%2 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick32cpaid-73.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5318…2a91backed Virginia Tech22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa879…7515backed Minnesota76c105.36$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.36955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3505…e6c9backed Minnesota79c103.23$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.68955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd970…3e65backed Minnesota78c101.01$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Minnesota79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdae4…d0c5backed Virginia Tech24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Virginia Tech22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2212433.1%41 W · 83 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Minnesota77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25de…794bbacked Virginia Tech22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Minnesota77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7399…1e41backed Virginia Tech24c85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa982…6c34backed Virginia Tech24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0355…4c8cbacked Virginia Tech24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-67%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31b8…7832backed Virginia Tech24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e93…c3bcbacked Virginia Tech22c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e92…07a6backed Minnesota77c64.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8926…5aacbacked Virginia Tech17c64.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Minnesota79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Virginia Tech19c62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.783647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Virginia Tech22c62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.641346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Virginia Tech25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Virginia Tech42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Minnesota77c58.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.445100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Virginia Tech19c56.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.772352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3905…eee1backed Minnesota79c55.85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Minnesota77c54.74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.591020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09c2…fe86backed Minnesota77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.95785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick76cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd2…2673backed Virginia Tech22c48.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e0…f41dbacked Minnesota75c46.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.