Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81dc62c84e8f1d9f2cfd4ca576bf0d5ef27d39e0bcf7b12f115a9064ed0c15de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,035,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,239,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,035,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e41…6b46backed Yes | 64c | 222,107$142,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,662.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 70c | 193,969$135,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,070.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cf…b8d3backed Yes | 2c | 112,526$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 51c | 99,259$51,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,225.7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 31c | 76,457$23,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,530.73 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 1c | 72,005$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.24 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…89e4backed Yes | 27c | 40,502$11,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,086.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…3143backed No | 63c | 27,936$17,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,385.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed No | 73c | 24,804$18,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,753.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 40c | 22,824$9,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,117.12 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…2b07backed Yes | 75c | 22,487$16,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,839.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…616cbacked No | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Yes | 41c | 18,318$7,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,535.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed No | 54c | 17,674$9,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,130.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc200…3c75backed Yes | 49c | 15,878$7,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed No | 37c | 14,160$5,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,869.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…02b6backed Yes | 44c | 12,699$5,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,633.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 43c | 12,531$5,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,122.44 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5725…36e3backed Yes | 3c | 12,304$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 12,198$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 74c | 12,053$8,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6c…11a1backed Yes | 69c | 11,642$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 26c | 11,377$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.2 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed No | 52c | 10,995$5,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,282.27 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…b44ebacked Yes | 47c | 10,602$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 42c | 10,020$4,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,765.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…ff66backed Yes | 55c | 10,014$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…ed05backed Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bb…6746backed Yes | 36c | 8,841$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b6…9fd7backed No | 51c | 8,838$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 64c | 8,567$5,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 54c | 8,101$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.71 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 54c | 8,006$4,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…8a4abacked Yes | 30c | 8,000$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…3b01backed Yes | 67c | 7,668$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 27c | 7,600$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 24c | 7,500$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…c52abacked Yes | 32c | 7,267$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Yes | 28c | 7,045$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…34aabacked Yes | 61c | 6,922$4,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 56c | 6,500$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 6,314$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.36 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…ace6backed Yes | 30c | 5,869$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d0…1ab2backed No | 25c | 5,679$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c9…7187backed Yes | 30c | 5,300$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…bafdbacked No | 29c | 5,247$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,746.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 40c | 5,190$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.89 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed Yes | 50c | 4,824$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed No | 78c | 4,729$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 29c | 4,687$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed No | 50c | 4,445$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 24c | 4,278$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.39 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…9fc3backed Yes | 0c | 4,229$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54bf…eb1abacked Yes | 24c | 4,100$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…288cbacked No | 48c | 4,000$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…52ccbacked No | 37c | 3,981$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e5…c4fcbacked Yes | 76c | 3,892$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…07afbacked Yes | 80c | 3,752$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…b8e5backed Yes | 51c | 3,432$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 38c | 3,405$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 40c | 3,401$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e1…03aebacked Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61d…5446backed Yes | 62c | 3,261$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…27b0backed Yes | 31c | 3,185$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 37c | 3,147$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…7ec3backed Yes | 44c | 3,099$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked No | 75c | 3,092$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…bc43backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…b063backed No | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…8315backed Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 35c | 2,881$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.95 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb190…d31cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,872$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 56c | 2,840$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.09 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x899b…fbdfbacked No | 49c | 2,736$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…ba38backed Yes | 31c | 2,727$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ef1backed Yes | 52c | 2,705$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 62c | 2,667$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.98 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…81e7backed Yes | 70c | 2,614$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 37c | 2,523$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.76 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445a…9465backed No | 73c | 2,413$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 56c | 2,400$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 35c | 2,397$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.12 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…d2f2backed Yes | 37c | 2,327$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 20c | 2,047$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.27 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…7875backed Yes | 38c | 2,039$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.92 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed No | 45c | 2,000$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…d6e2backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 55c | 1,823$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Yes | 27c | 1,746$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c79…acfbbacked Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…fe84backed No | 36c | 1,628$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…2300backed Yes | 34c | 1,608$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a4…c666backed Yes | 24c | 1,560$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c51…827ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,548$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?this page
- Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes won
- Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.