Us Midterms · resolved market
Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7de9348782747fc1f6a9e4d0ace397e72b5e64b0c62fc0f2150d12cfe90e70ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,216,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $725,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,216,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 97,147$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8f…cc80backed Yes | 0c | 89,807$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…74c1backed Yes | 0c | 89,807$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913d…1677backed Yes | 0c | 88,443$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce94…9cd3backed Yes | 0c | 74,839$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c6…aba9backed Yes | 0c | 74,839$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…d6b3backed Yes | 0c | 74,839$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…7f56backed Yes | 0c | 74,839$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7b…80f0backed Yes | 0c | 74,839$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…058cbacked Yes | 0c | 74,839$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…4af8backed Yes | 0c | 74,839$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68f…3a2abacked Yes | 0c | 74,839$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…791fbacked Yes | 0c | 74,839$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…cc38backed Yes | 0c | 74,839$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d94…4170backed Yes | 0c | 74,839$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…3f15backed Yes | 0c | 74,839$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x996d…7e9fbacked Yes | 0c | 74,839$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7904…a62ebacked Yes | 0c | 73,814$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…a375backed Yes | 0c | 59,871$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…0ab8backed Yes | 0c | 59,871$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…63bebacked Yes | 0c | 59,871$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc50…320bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,145$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eaa…e1a1backed Yes | 0c | 19,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…a011backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…14d8backed Yes | 0c | 18,970$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…6ccebacked Yes | 0c | 16,825$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe641…6081backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…5b06backed Yes | 0c | 15,934$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 0c | 15,850$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…cfeebacked Yes | 0c | 15,800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…e567backed Yes | 0c | 15,694$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb494…3329backed Yes | 0c | 15,687$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…06a2backed Yes | 0c | 15,418$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6696…7f21backed Yes | 0c | 15,307$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9144…c330backed Yes | 0c | 15,256$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,184$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1784…dbe6backed Yes | 0c | 15,037$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc5…9c2abacked Yes | 0c | 15,015$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…94dbbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9df…7403backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…d19abacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…6de8backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb24…f53dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x996d…3f7ebacked Yes | 0c | 14,888$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3132…e50ebacked Yes | 0c | 14,885$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c7…3e1bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,885$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…bfaebacked Yes | 0c | 14,862$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…1b47backed Yes | 0c | 14,839$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd8…8349backed Yes | 0c | 14,695$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c49…9d82backed Yes | 0c | 14,477$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…c4bfbacked Yes | 0c | 14,444$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb951…ad5fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,385$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7f…1f21backed Yes | 0c | 14,371$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x776d…290bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,338$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1398…913fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,258$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x121d…a74abacked Yes | 0c | 14,227$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7148…17d0backed Yes | 0c | 14,220$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…fc14backed Yes | 0c | 14,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…61aebacked Yes | 0c | 14,199$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0f…4bc4backed Yes | 0c | 14,109$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…8b5fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,096$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…3442backed Yes | 0c | 14,036$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705a…5e2abacked Yes | 0c | 14,026$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…2f6bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793e…8631backed Yes | 0c | 13,964$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2a…be64backed Yes | 0c | 13,922$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b5…ebbbbacked Yes | 0c | 13,848$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…7558backed Yes | 0c | 13,718$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…53bdbacked Yes | 0c | 13,586$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…d862backed Yes | 0c | 13,555$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b7…fed1backed Yes | 0c | 13,534$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…d569backed Yes | 0c | 13,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe804…2c4abacked Yes | 0c | 13,429$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae56…c111backed Yes | 0c | 13,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac04…fdcebacked Yes | 0c | 13,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…c320backed Yes | 0c | 13,050$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…813fbacked Yes | 0c | 13,016$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…f34dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,003$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb372…cc95backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4e…a26cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,922$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…9ecfbacked Yes | 0c | 12,900$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e4…6f70backed Yes | 0c | 12,854$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83e…b298backed Yes | 0c | 12,850$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ce…e972backed Yes | 0c | 12,822$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f5…395cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,759$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1766…00d6backed Yes | 0c | 12,689$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0d31backed Yes | 0c | 12,667$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes | 0c | 12,578$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b6…a31ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,562$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d4…7353backed Yes | 0c | 12,552$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff2…f644backed Yes | 0c | 12,448$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…3fa0backed Yes | 0c | 12,186$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc432…506dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,170$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…5b3bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,092$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375f…a29abacked Yes | 0c | 12,088$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…f256backed Yes | 0c | 12,056$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb7…3ab7backed Yes | 0c | 11,535$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…1a05backed Yes | 0c | 10,279$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?this page
- Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes won
- Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.