Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63a86e84ee38137a74b13cebd849a0ff0a4aa52a1e046d1470a4c7a5ecf67ef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,005,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,664,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,005,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda08…72d4backed Yes | 3c | 54,941$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.96 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9540backed Yes | 0c | 44,531$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff51…da27backed Yes | 0c | 34,259$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5fa0backed Yes | 0c | 34,259$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f3…752ebacked Yes | 0c | 34,249$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffa…0d0cbacked Yes | 0c | 34,029$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…321bbacked Yes | 0c | 31,668$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…af82backed Yes | 0c | 30,472$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…b459backed Yes | 0c | 30,181$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 29,958$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…d8c9backed Yes | 0c | 29,220$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71d…9c7abacked Yes | 0c | 28,627$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…d966backed Yes | 0c | 27,976$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…0f36backed Yes | 0c | 27,634$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…8ee8backed Yes | 0c | 26,780$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf844…a8aabacked Yes | 0c | 26,205$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…8115backed Yes | 0c | 25,763$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966e…d4afbacked Yes | 0c | 25,366$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…5cc8backed Yes | 0c | 25,220$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…f3a3backed Yes | 0c | 24,881$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…e2c9backed Yes | 0c | 24,690$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…d171backed Yes | 0c | 24,284$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…40fabacked Yes | 0c | 24,132$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d2…51c1backed Yes | 0c | 23,764$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…0014backed Yes | 0c | 23,672$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…2feabacked Yes | 0c | 23,474$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…6de8backed Yes | 0c | 23,466$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8467…99cbbacked Yes | 0c | 23,408$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8892…65b1backed Yes | 0c | 22,902$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…7c1ebacked Yes | 0c | 22,676$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…e20bbacked Yes | 0c | 22,419$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…4c31backed Yes | 0c | 22,277$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x618b…9a91backed Yes | 0c | 22,267$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b6…cbd3backed Yes | 0c | 21,777$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…d4d0backed Yes | 0c | 21,743$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae4…0497backed Yes | 0c | 21,720$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c40…9fa2backed Yes | 0c | 21,676$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…6a00backed Yes | 0c | 21,600$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…d49dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,426$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0990…555fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,175$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32da…3082backed Yes | 0c | 21,058$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…5d39backed Yes | 0c | 20,957$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…5e64backed Yes | 0c | 20,755$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff6…d757backed Yes | 0c | 19,954$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de5…048dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,714$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa594…3af0backed Yes | 0c | 19,536$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c84…9fc2backed Yes | 0c | 19,304$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…fb93backed Yes | 0c | 18,963$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…e6babacked Yes | 0c | 18,860$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…79a4backed Yes | 0c | 18,736$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2f…2eb6backed Yes | 0c | 18,718$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…d8debacked Yes | 0c | 18,554$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c8…7813backed Yes | 0c | 18,460$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…36efbacked Yes | 0c | 18,209$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…8f21backed Yes | 0c | 17,274$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399a…f344backed Yes | 0c | 17,241$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…c1cebacked Yes | 0c | 16,588$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae1…4c08backed Yes | 0c | 16,497$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…a9e3backed Yes | 0c | 16,290$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e9…c580backed Yes | 0c | 16,254$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…f407backed Yes | 0c | 16,229$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…aa57backed Yes | 0c | 16,055$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…e117backed Yes | 0c | 16,038$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d1…d403backed Yes | 0c | 15,846$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32fa…dda7backed Yes | 0c | 15,612$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b55…a894backed Yes | 0c | 15,304$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…c04fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,304$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 0c | 15,300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4d…2374backed Yes | 0c | 15,096$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f70…df7bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,070$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…b800backed Yes | 0c | 14,861$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7136…5dbabacked Yes | 0c | 14,827$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…e84cbacked Yes | 0c | 14,803$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…aac0backed Yes | 0c | 14,569$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…0ed0backed Yes | 0c | 14,392$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…6573backed Yes | 0c | 14,356$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…76e2backed Yes | 0c | 14,114$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c8…7d2fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,076$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…da69backed Yes | 0c | 13,817$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…4409backed Yes | 0c | 13,817$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0d…415fbacked Yes | 0c | 13,782$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a4…da51backed Yes | 0c | 13,583$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…7678backed Yes | 0c | 13,550$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab1…1c82backed Yes | 0c | 13,140$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…6fd7backed Yes | 0c | 12,932$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea1…10e9backed Yes | 0c | 12,906$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb15…c7a3backed Yes | 0c | 12,905$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…0b1abacked Yes | 0c | 12,572$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1404…1529backed Yes | 0c | 12,479$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…d9eabacked Yes | 0c | 12,387$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe556…9748backed Yes | 0c | 11,677$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…2ae7backed Yes | 0c | 11,041$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…d1edbacked Yes | 0c | 10,843$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…6e51backed Yes | 0c | 10,492$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…6fa4backed Yes | 0c | 10,090$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf077…69d9backed Yes | 0c | 9,882$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…710bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,858$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…969dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,471$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?this page
- Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes won
- Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.