Us Midterms · resolved market
Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1610c1b40d51e192add0abdd693887b1ad4aad98c98198dd706f6bebaf2cde0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,167,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $510,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,167,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 72,915$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6a0bbacked Yes | 0c | 37,473$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Yes | 2c | 32,694$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.43 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…8306backed Yes | 0c | 28,238$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…f451backed Yes | 0c | 27,465$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0230…f2c9backed Yes | 0c | 25,671$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113b…2dd9backed Yes | 0c | 24,158$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…829bbacked Yes | 0c | 23,594$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…2a64backed Yes | 0c | 23,594$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…2bb7backed Yes | 0c | 23,104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cf…63cabacked Yes | 0c | 23,104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…7adabacked Yes | 0c | 23,104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb1…78e6backed Yes | 0c | 21,277$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…bb6bbacked Yes | 0c | 21,277$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e9…098fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,277$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 0c | 21,160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0116backed Yes | 0c | 20,537$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…57f8backed Yes | 0c | 20,537$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48e…9a98backed Yes | 0c | 20,537$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…147abacked Yes | 0c | 19,024$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…738bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,024$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…41f7backed Yes | 0c | 18,710$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…d0d3backed Yes | 0c | 18,710$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…9867backed Yes | 0c | 17,970$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ecf…db25backed Yes | 0c | 17,970$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f6…5faabacked Yes | 0c | 17,970$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1faf…8df8backed Yes | 0c | 17,970$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c2…a1c5backed Yes | 0c | 17,970$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…9a27backed Yes | 0c | 16,947$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…0177backed Yes | 0c | 16,637$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…ed53backed Yes | 0c | 16,632$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ed…d355backed Yes | 0c | 16,457$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f09…b474backed Yes | 0c | 16,382$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d9…b34fbacked Yes | 0c | 16,382$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed Yes | 0c | 16,142$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8265…8b0cbacked Yes | 0c | 16,142$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 16,132$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…ab6ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,932$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…bd26backed Yes | 0c | 15,927$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…cd99backed Yes | 0c | 15,922$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…35e0backed Yes | 0c | 15,917$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17b…dcffbacked Yes | 0c | 15,912$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…afb7backed Yes | 0c | 15,402$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…683dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,402$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb660…021fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,402$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…0e2fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,402$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…7a2bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,402$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…2550backed Yes | 0c | 15,402$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…3b09backed Yes | 0c | 15,402$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…a990backed Yes | 0c | 15,402$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebe…0202backed Yes | 0c | 15,402$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…d8dcbacked Yes | 0c | 15,402$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7375…d56ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,402$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…6cbdbacked Yes | 0c | 15,402$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43a…0891backed Yes | 0c | 15,402$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Yes | 0c | 13,967$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3261…e415backed Yes | 0c | 13,890$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…d89dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,890$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ff…7ff4backed Yes | 0c | 13,890$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…bd54backed Yes | 0c | 13,640$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…41edbacked Yes | 0c | 13,575$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…ccc4backed Yes | 0c | 13,575$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…839cbacked Yes | 0c | 13,575$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…d20abacked Yes | 0c | 13,575$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x909b…6246backed Yes | 0c | 12,835$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…5c0fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,835$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…ef8cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,835$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f8…2692backed Yes | 0c | 12,835$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3b…0d68backed Yes | 0c | 12,835$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c3…7f69backed Yes | 0c | 12,835$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…b903backed Yes | 0c | 12,835$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe607…df65backed Yes | 0c | 12,835$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…54ccbacked Yes | 0c | 12,835$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9627…ad31backed Yes | 0c | 12,835$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 12,614$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…4afebacked Yes | 0c | 12,063$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…08bcbacked Yes | 0c | 11,323$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…bbb2backed Yes | 0c | 11,323$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d4…098bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,323$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…a629backed Yes | 0c | 11,323$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194d…8a8dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,008$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895a…b7efbacked Yes | 0c | 11,008$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x317a…7b98backed Yes | 1c | 10,751$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…6af8backed Yes | 1c | 10,417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…2671backed Yes | 0c | 10,268$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…a421backed Yes | 0c | 10,268$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…2b7cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,268$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…8b82backed Yes | 0c | 10,268$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f07…834dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,268$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfd…8870backed Yes | 0c | 10,268$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…ef93backed Yes | 0c | 10,268$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…7a3dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,268$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…ebc2backed Yes | 0c | 10,268$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…e455backed Yes | 0c | 10,268$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a4…76eabacked Yes | 0c | 10,268$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d19…68dfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,268$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e36…42d0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb887…2879backed Yes | 0c | 9,181$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…04e0backed Yes | 0c | 8,756$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?this page
- Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes won
- Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
- Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.