TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd3e…9c71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Olympics at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$51.26
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$23.31
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.05
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.09
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Harrison/Skupskibacked Bolelli/Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+50%+$17.7
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.22
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.57
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$22.51
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$38.78
Six Kings Slam: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$25.42
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.25
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.24
ATP Cincinnati - Zverev vs. Alcaraz backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+174.1%+$89.34
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.68
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$8.15
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.8
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+102.2%+$37.73
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.75
French Open: Zverev vs. Griekspoor backed Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.09
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-39.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+163.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+41.9%+$73.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$67.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.