World Politics · resolved market
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6e5313111c71e5d7a9900951e71a9d6878f852220b6e198c4ffce127831a619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked No | 78c | 3,173$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.86 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4065…dc80backed Yes | 23c | 2,449$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 14c | 1,333$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.68 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…9a12backed Yes | 1c | 1,216$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…93c4backed Yes | 66c | 869.98$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.01 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked No | 79c | 868.06$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.06 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -8.2wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…a9b4backed No | 70c | 669.5$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…7e23backed Yes | 18c | 655.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a3…e615backed Yes | 66c | 567.73$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…112fbacked Yes | 10c | 491.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 472.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 17c | 464.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.28 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +75%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc84c…4b4dbacked Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 33c | 399.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.72 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e01…cfeebacked No | 77c | 390$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 22c | 379$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…8feebacked No | 9c | 323.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +255%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…b280backed No | 17c | 319.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +129%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…dcd8backed No | 6c | 310$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.9 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…fc45backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed No | 29c | 258.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +247.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 66c | 258.7$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…8cf4backed No | 57c | 238.12$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 13c | 220.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 9c | 210.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…ead4backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +612.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 25c | 184.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 40c | 171.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…c084backed Yes | 22c | 149.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…f448backed No | 14c | 139.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +597.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed No | 42c | 132.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes | 20c | 129.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 18cpaid | +382.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 22c | 127.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…9c9abacked Yes | 17c | 119.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed No | 11c | 102.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…5defbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 42c | 93.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed No | 19c | 81.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…c80fbacked Yes | 18c | 81.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3e…9c71backed Yes | 19c | 78.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 45c | 78.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eba…60cebacked Yes | 26c | 73.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8c…3a74backed No | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +223.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad5…e584backed Yes | 22c | 46.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 79c | 41.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9d…478abacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…dcb5backed Yes | 79c | 29.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284c…4438backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 58c | 21.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 53c | 20.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.