TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ATP Cincinnati - Zverev vs. Alcaraz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alcarazof Zverev, Alcaraz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea64…f2a2backed Alcaraz52c81,765$42,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,576.479354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Zverev51c81,556$41,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,585.54436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Zverev38c24,871$9,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,337.259935.4%35 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Alcaraz63c15,058$9,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,622.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Zverev37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7009137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Alcaraz62c9,030$5,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,431.411230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Alcaraz63c7,500$4,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,77566949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Zverev38c7,300$2,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,77415832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Alcaraz64c6,640$4,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.496376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Alcaraz62c5,323$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.5848851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Alcaraz79c4,468$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.832141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Zverev37c3,832$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.316140.4%65 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Zverev37c3,312$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.291827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Zverev14c3,140$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.951833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Zverev39c2,549$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9942948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Alcaraz63c2,543$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.9537540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Zverev40c2,530$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00096035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdc4…a880backed Zverev38c2,215$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.486633.3%22 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Zverev19c2,028$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.9517833.1%59 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75a1…693fbacked Zverev38c2,000$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Alcaraz62c1,969$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.673542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Zverev38c1,654$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.4813253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb28b…e410backed Alcaraz64c1,652$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Alcaraz59c1,633$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.6412445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked Alcaraz63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.35158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Zverev14c1,507$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21036047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Alcaraz63c1,340$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.2317867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Zverev39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Alcaraz65c1,169$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40925352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Alcaraz62c1,126$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42862742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Alcaraz62c1,048$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.15030%15 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…63d8backed Alcaraz64c1,000$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3653745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Zverev44c913.25$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Zverev34c900$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.2752750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Alcaraz64c745.4$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.488453.6%45 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alcaraz70c730.56$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.2711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Alcaraz62c700$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26629636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Alcaraz62c630.55$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4681938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Alcaraz63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2223100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+107.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Alcaraz62c548.84$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5612949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zverev38c509$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.331,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Alcaraz62c504.4$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8415957.2%91 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Alcaraz63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18512954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Alcaraz62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1904860.4%29 W · 19 L+9.2wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+2,177.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Zverev34c494.7$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.28640.7%35 W · 51 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Zverev41c490.24$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20114546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad98…8733backed Zverev29c451.94$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.184035%14 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Zverev27c432.47$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.12,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Zverev14c375$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2925330%76 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Zverev39c333.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13016445.7%75 W · 89 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Alcaraz71c319.98$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.296756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Alcaraz63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4663942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Alcaraz62c270.97$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9717538.3%67 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Zverev38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…8b7dbacked Zverev38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9012…cb82backed Alcaraz62c238.76$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Zverev39c237.16$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.255822.4%13 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Alcaraz58c218.54$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.915724.8%39 W · 118 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f8…4dc3backed Alcaraz62c210.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.991275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91a7…cac6backed Alcaraz63c206.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.351070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce09…6b0bbacked Alcaraz61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Alcaraz62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Zverev36c193.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4739144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Zverev37c183$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.717037.1%26 W · 44 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e09…da86backed Alcaraz60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.82650%13 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Alcaraz62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2938356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Alcaraz65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Alcaraz63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.218338.8%71 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Alcaraz63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eac…e064backed Alcaraz63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Alcaraz64c156.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.961369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27db…5897backed Alcaraz65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Alcaraz66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5248043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Alcaraz66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187f…69a8backed Alcaraz63c147.16$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Zverev37c140$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.812134.7%42 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Alcaraz64c136.53$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1529553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842e…074cbacked Zverev38c135$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.32025%5 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Alcaraz65c130.77$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.773256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Alcaraz62c126.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2610654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x731b…bdcabacked Alcaraz63c122.46$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.312871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d26…ccb8backed Alcaraz66c121.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2113762.8%86 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Zverev36c111.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.041,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Zverev19c106.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1942359.1%250 W · 173 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Alcaraz62c102$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.763259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Alcaraz64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3662952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Zverev37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Alcaraz62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3817349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4451…fcbebacked Alcaraz67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.53652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6288…1bdcbacked Zverev25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Alcaraz65c86.72$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.722,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27a3…c192backed Alcaraz63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Alcaraz62c71.9$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3215961%97 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f7…facbbacked Alcaraz50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f7…8c88backed Alcaraz64c56.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f30…ed96backed Zverev39c53.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c5b…6326backed Zverev38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Alcaraz63c52.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3320431.4%64 W · 140 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Alcaraz63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.510956.9%62 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf26d…53ccbacked Alcaraz63c43.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.