Tennis · resolved market
Six Kings Slam: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64161ee37f93419d01e8e7b7ba40bcb96dbab62aa3c560bac6dfc5f1e0c0e5d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Alcaraz, Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Sinner | 56c | 150,628$83,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,778.38 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alcaraz | 45c | 40,664$18,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,216.41 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Alcaraz | 44c | 21,846$9,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,612.14 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Alcaraz | 44c | 17,235$7,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,603.45 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Alcaraz | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Alcaraz | 45c | 14,345$6,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,472.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Alcaraz | 48c | 12,718$6,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,091.96 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Alcaraz | 44c | 11,928$5,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,284.08 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alcaraz | 43c | 9,004$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.32 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Alcaraz | 44c | 6,777$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.89 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Alcaraz | 47c | 6,492$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.51 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Alcaraz | 40c | 5,965$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.78 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked Alcaraz | 44c | 5,132$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Alcaraz | 45c | 4,075$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.47 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Alcaraz | 46c | 2,810$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.2 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Alcaraz | 49c | 2,782$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.11 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Alcaraz | 49c | 2,238$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.43 | 959 | 35.5%340 W · 619 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Sinner | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.95 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed Alcaraz | 16c | 1,844$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…d32abacked Sinner | 67c | 1,501$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…4ff8backed Sinner | 54c | 1,307$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x893f…f7e9backed Alcaraz | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Sinner | 48c | 1,032$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.52 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Alcaraz | 49c | 943.17$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.68 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Alcaraz | 41c | 889.48$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed Sinner | 57c | 764.56$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Alcaraz | 42c | 698.75$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed Alcaraz | 49c | 654.69$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Alcaraz | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Sinner | 55c | 500$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Alcaraz | 44c | 458.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Alcaraz | 48c | 444.12$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Sinner | 48c | 439.77$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.68 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Sinner | 53c | 422.38$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.52 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked Alcaraz | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Alcaraz | 45c | 371.11$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Alcaraz | 29c | 356.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Alcaraz | 47c | 352.66$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…d5cabacked Alcaraz | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…5aeebacked Alcaraz | 47c | 307.7$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.62 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Alcaraz | 26c | 299.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…77ccbacked Alcaraz | 50c | 288.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Alcaraz | 34c | 278.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Alcaraz | 46c | 273.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Alcaraz | 25c | 257.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Alcaraz | 45c | 243.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Alcaraz | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Alcaraz | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Alcaraz | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Alcaraz | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…4522backed Alcaraz | 47c | 206.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alcaraz | 45c | 204.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…82f1backed Alcaraz | 50c | 200.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Sinner | 52c | 197.54$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 323 | 48.3%156 W · 167 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked Alcaraz | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Alcaraz | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Alcaraz | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5122…8dc7backed Sinner | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5ec6backed Alcaraz | 44c | 177.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Alcaraz | 41c | 175.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Alcaraz | 48c | 167$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7641…e092backed Alcaraz | 45c | 144.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Sinner | 61c | 141.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Alcaraz | 8c | 129.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Alcaraz | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Alcaraz | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…8570backed Alcaraz | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Alcaraz | 46c | 82.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…333bbacked Sinner | 69c | 54.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3e…9c71backed Sinner | 53c | 54.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Alcaraz | 33c | 51.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…ca98backed Alcaraz | 44c | 50.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Alcaraz | 31c | 47.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0de…fa5abacked Alcaraz | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Alcaraz | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6605…b83fbacked Alcaraz | 24c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…45a5backed Alcaraz | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…bb39backed Alcaraz | 51c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f11…bababacked Sinner | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Alcaraz | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1d…2d6fbacked Alcaraz | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Alcaraz | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed Alcaraz | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 165 | 64.8%107 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Alcaraz | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…bb41backed Alcaraz | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Alcaraz | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Alcaraz | 44c | 29.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…aff9backed Sinner | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Sinner | 51c | 25.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Sinner | 51c | 23.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7796…5e92backed Alcaraz | 50c | 21.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.