Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x143e7588ea452ac65bd4c40e2d09b38f40c53ad909b4956c621c64ac38e94296
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $643,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $646,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $643,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed4d…d601backed No | 17c | 36,069$6,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,074.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a60…d019backed No | 15c | 31,202$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 21c | 30,873$6,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 17c | 30,754$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,310.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…66c3backed No | 16c | 30,532$4,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 15c | 28,283$4,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.47 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 15c | 20,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49c…8150backed No | 17c | 17,498$2,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…6941backed Yes | 79c | 16,304$12,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdae…b808backed No | 14c | 8,117$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…15dfbacked Yes | 77c | 8,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 18c | 7,623$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.87 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 18c | 7,304$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed No | 15c | 6,906$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.09 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Yes | 77c | 6,872$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 19c | 6,486$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.05 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…1d49backed Yes | 80c | 6,385$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…5840backed No | 20c | 6,217$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc5…e6aabacked Yes | 80c | 5,620$4,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 18c | 5,263$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…da85backed No | 20c | 5,000$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.37 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed Yes | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…ba35backed No | 24c | 4,839$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 21c | 4,445$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed No | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fd…fd08backed Yes | 80c | 3,792$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 16c | 3,560$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…849cbacked No | 13c | 3,325$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 19c | 3,012$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…6671backed No | 26c | 2,891$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87c…e40dbacked Yes | 80c | 2,556$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…df1cbacked Yes | 80c | 2,474$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…1e03backed Yes | 80c | 2,370$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 11c | 2,341$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.56 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…7ae9backed Yes | 80c | 2,337$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked No | 20c | 2,094$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.92 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb37…fbacbacked Yes | 79c | 2,073$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…cf32backed No | 17c | 2,049$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 9c | 2,032$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 24c | 1,800$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.99 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…c85abacked Yes | 77c | 1,769$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 76c | 1,700$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 17c | 1,564$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.15 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…ce9dbacked Yes | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed No | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked No | 5c | 1,033$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaab…8e6cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…24fcbacked No | 17c | 999.89$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…4f27backed No | 21c | 885.71$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 15c | 814.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…e69dbacked No | 21c | 720.76$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 18c | 699.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed No | 22c | 678$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 22c | 656.53$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 18c | 650$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…e3f4backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…6234backed No | 12c | 637.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 79c | 634.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.31 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ce…f646backed Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…dd52backed No | 19c | 607.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…6157backed Yes | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5459…9b52backed No | 17c | 590$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…9b47backed No | 21c | 571.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 75c | 549.57$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c0…8132backed No | 20c | 476.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 17c | 467.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…6bacbacked No | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…5c51backed No | 24c | 415.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked No | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 12c | 395$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…d3f6backed No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18af…f909backed No | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…7112backed No | 18c | 280.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ab…22b8backed No | 15c | 260$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990f…7f11backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed No | 20c | 255$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…76febacked No | 12c | 244.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…2187backed No | 22c | 233.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…a755backed Yes | 79c | 223.97$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…53c2backed Yes | 80c | 220.68$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…ee86backed No | 20c | 220$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad2…f7f0backed No | 23c | 213$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 19c | 211.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked No | 13c | 209.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…edcfbacked Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…768fbacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 20c | 199.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…05adbacked No | 21c | 195.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf241…a9a8backed No | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 21c | 178.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed Yes | 79c | 152.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe654…699dbacked Yes | 80c | 144.7$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…6143backed Yes | 79c | 143.77$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ba…7483backed No | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf9…58bbbacked No | 7c | 141.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a1…7776backed Yes | 78c | 136.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.