Tennis · resolved market
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tournament
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0ccbdadc3b92b954c0bf36de26e270cca570b0be0fef3f33d003d340dbcb9cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 71c | 50,603$35,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,667.58 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23aa…d2c0backed No | 22c | 18,045$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,967.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 34c | 16,882$5,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,751.86 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 33c | 13,220$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,359.83 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Yes | 75c | 7,296$5,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.45 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 17c | 5,238$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.49 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 25c | 3,989$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.56 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 15c | 3,715$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.69 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed No | 10c | 2,330$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed No | 38c | 2,230$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.72 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 61c | 2,019$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.35 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…ba65backed No | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed No | 35c | 1,509$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.39 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 18c | 1,364$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.54 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 14c | 1,201$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 30c | 893.85$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.12 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a71…1d7dbacked Yes | 72c | 880$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 69c | 870.47$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…3a31backed No | 26c | 820$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 30c | 814.65$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.33 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed No | 18c | 800$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…3c13backed No | 30c | 666.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 32c | 639.95$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.62 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed No | 38c | 636.84$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed No | 37c | 549.95$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.18 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed No | 11c | 475.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 29c | 410.64$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 35c | 408.75$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.63 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a4…bf38backed No | 23c | 391.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Yes | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 58c | 337.62$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.48 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675a…0551backed Yes | 76c | 330.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 30c | 301.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed Yes | 75c | 266.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1b…c599backed Yes | 71c | 262.91$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a4…4a8fbacked Yes | 63c | 249.34$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 42c | 195.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 41c | 178.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 35c | 177.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…5b0ebacked Yes | 80c | 134.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed No | 21c | 127.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d1…814abacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Yes | 58c | 121.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…6e84backed Yes | 79c | 113.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Yes | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 258 | 62.4%161 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49bf…4fd7backed No | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Yes | 46c | 97.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3e…9c71backed Yes | 60c | 96.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…fab8backed Yes | 79c | 69.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 27c | 53.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked No | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…be95backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked No | 46c | 46.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Yes | 79c | 39.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…afd6backed No | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 64c | 38.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…3428backed Yes | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0695…4accbacked Yes | 59c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae9…1f88backed Yes | 64c | 31.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a0…ad1abacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b4ecbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…1316backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Yes | 62c | 29.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…af59backed Yes | 65c | 26.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…67adbacked Yes | 62c | 20.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tournamentthis page
- Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles TournamentNo won
- Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles TournamentNo won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles TournamentNo won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles TournamentNo won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles TournamentNo won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles TournamentNo won
- Will Learner Tien win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles TournamentNo won
- Will Valentin Vacherot win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles TournamentNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.