Tennis · resolved market
Hobart International: Xinyu Wang vs Talia Gibson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fd9b6f80fbad24ea38e12234653cf0eb2de1e98864d9b3bd458961c9204a3c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wangof Wang, Gibson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gibson | 33c | 8,023$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Wang | 74c | 7,820$5,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.6 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gibson | 1c | 5,318$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Wang | 60c | 3,008$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.93 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gibson | 21c | 2,676$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.68 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Wang | 58c | 2,581$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.95 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Gibson | 6c | 1,889$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Wang | 70c | 1,623$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.37 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gibson | 39c | 1,429$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.84 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed Wang | 64c | 1,225$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Gibson | 33c | 1,183$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.31 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gibson | 17c | 881.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.73 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gibson | 35c | 645.97$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.79 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Wang | 59c | 602.57$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.05 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b4…1330backed Gibson | 22c | 600$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Gibson | 41c | 539.07$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.02 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Wang | 67c | 456.72$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb967…10b3backed Gibson | 5c | 420.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Gibson | 42c | 417.79$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…de43backed Wang | 61c | 327.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…8e0ebacked Wang | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ceb…3656backed Gibson | 25c | 270$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Gibson | 7c | 266.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Gibson | 38c | 262.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…670bbacked Wang | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed Wang | 67c | 220.45$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gibson | 41c | 215.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Gibson | 37c | 214.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Gibson | 42c | 188.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Gibson | 14c | 160.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Wang | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Wang | 63c | 135.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Wang | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Gibson | 36c | 111.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Wang | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed Wang | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Gibson | 39c | 87.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Gibson | 15c | 86.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wang | 63c | 86.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea7…df43backed Gibson | 17c | 79.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Wang | 66c | 75.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…3c66backed Gibson | 41c | 59.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Wang | 65c | 56.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Wang | 55c | 55.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Wang | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Wang | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Wang | 57c | 40.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wang | 76c | 36.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Gibson | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Wang | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Wang | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Gibson | 43c | 26.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Wang | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Wang | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Wang | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed Wang | 80c | 17.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hobart International: Xinyu Wang vs Talia Gibsonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Wang vs GibsonWang won
- Set Handicap: Wang (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)Wang won
- Wang vs. Gibson: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Wang vs. Gibson: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Wang vs. Gibson: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.