TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Janice Tjen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Samsonovaof Samsonova, Tjen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,434
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$298,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,434 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Samsonova59c22,670$13,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,294.6911633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Samsonova63c17,678$11,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,505.072286.4%19 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+50.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Tjen17c17,636$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.422,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tjen41c14,000$5,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,74015832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tjen14c10,833$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.278,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Tjen25c8,684$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.7780938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Tjen41c7,227$2,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.1114450.7%73 W · 71 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tjen35c6,152$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.457,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Tjen41c5,817$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.5625428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Tjen40c5,635$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.1311242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Samsonova58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9443051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Tjen36c4,356$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.146439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2315…f55bbacked Samsonova80c4,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003764.9%24 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Tjen41c3,930$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.2810443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf403…e176backed Tjen37c3,900$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ab3…12b2backed Samsonova63c3,900$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Samsonova77c3,896$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.114766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Tjen36c3,444$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.0276140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Samsonova60c3,334$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.8944754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Samsonova59c3,279$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.2910547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Samsonova64c3,037$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.0135247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Samsonova64c2,700$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.9614250.7%72 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Tjen11c2,660$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1372132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tjen37c2,617$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.281,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Samsonova64c2,371$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.6439431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Samsonova61c2,295$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.0859151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Tjen42c1,854$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.6831332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Samsonova80c1,736$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.2518756.1%105 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Tjen13c1,578$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.87533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tjen34c1,514$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.573,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bcc…de43backed Samsonova60c1,482$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.81963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Tjen36c1,400$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50411045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Tjen39c1,154$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.061,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0826…8738backed Samsonova60c1,100$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe084…04c0backed Tjen40c1,100$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Tjen36c1,050$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.527733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Tjen40c1,038$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.4821338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Samsonova65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3507037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Samsonova65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35045457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Samsonova63c996.11$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tjen16c995.7$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x494e…c549backed Tjen39c990.1$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc127…66e9backed Samsonova62c990.1$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Tjen7c925.64$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.792,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Tjen38c917.52$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.014,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc04a…af81backed Tjen41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32870%0 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf50c…83edbacked Samsonova59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3287100%7 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Tjen39c778.74$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.37,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Samsonova64c721.44$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.723633.3%12 W · 24 L-8.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-43.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Samsonova77c717.96$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4615951.6%82 W · 77 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tjen37c712.59$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.992,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Tjen37c711.86$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.9752037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Tjen39c660$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.442141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Samsonova64c654.69$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6916665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Samsonova60c630.92$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.3246553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Samsonova59c616.34$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.7368350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Tjen37c555$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3516340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x741a…4dbebacked Samsonova59c511.34$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.65933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Tjen13c504.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8524634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Samsonova63c495.24$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2426158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Samsonova65c452.63$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4210943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Tjen38c450$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17115646.8%73 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked Tjen23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005450%27 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Tjen39c426.94$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16653058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Samsonova74c408.39$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1811560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Tjen42c394.19$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.454332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Samsonova61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8710862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7b…3a0dbacked Samsonova64c300.08$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.081957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ba…51ebbacked Samsonova69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Samsonova59c288.14$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1411353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Tjen37c270.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.012568%17 W · 8 L+5.4wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+49.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Tjen39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x279b…2365backed Tjen39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007237.5%27 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tjen11c250.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Tjen37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.52450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Samsonova60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10054348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Samsonova60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10035157%200 W · 151 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Tjen39c248.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7965849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Samsonova63c244.79$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7913652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Tjen35c220$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7795140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Tjen32c217$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.441,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7e…8a0fbacked Tjen39c208.87$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.46520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Tjen39c206.63$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.541,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Tjen27c202.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5514613.7%20 W · 126 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Tjen32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6497046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Tjen6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed Tjen40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Tjen35c199.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Samsonova58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4111850.8%60 W · 58 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca20…998abacked Tjen8c170.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Tjen42c166.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Samsonova61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9319452.1%101 W · 93 L-13.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Samsonova63c160.83$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1928952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Samsonova63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7310962.4%68 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Samsonova64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252969%20 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Samsonova64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc6…d353backed Samsonova65c154.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x458d…b7c8backed Samsonova59c150.36$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.911861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Samsonova60c145$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.094,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Samsonova64c144.53$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0314568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.