Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machac
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40efabe2c687b74dd5ff6fb4d2e863e3a1545799b997fb51ed920981ddbcd5f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Machacof Humbert, Machac
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Machac | 42c | 23,687$9,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,738.23 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Humbert | 58c | 12,927$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Humbert | 60c | 9,109$5,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,425.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Machac | 65c | 7,769$5,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Machac | 43c | 7,725$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.35 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Humbert | 39c | 7,660$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.91 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Machac | 50c | 6,614$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.44 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Machac | 45c | 6,300$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Humbert | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.98 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Humbert | 59c | 5,708$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.07 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Humbert | 66c | 5,671$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.9 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Humbert | 58c | 5,367$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.85 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Humbert | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.98 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Humbert | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.97 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Humbert | 42c | 4,120$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.95 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Machac | 42c | 3,429$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.62 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Machac | 27c | 3,355$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Machac | 44c | 3,303$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.68 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Machac | 43c | 3,216$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.88 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Machac | 40c | 3,132$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.22 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Humbert | 26c | 3,054$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.91 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Machac | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.1 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Machac | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Humbert | 51c | 2,920$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.99 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Humbert | 48c | 2,647$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.6 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Machac | 51c | 2,641$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.31 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Humbert | 56c | 2,420$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.14 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Machac | 44c | 2,405$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.74 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Humbert | 38c | 2,380$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.02 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Machac | 64c | 2,337$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.4 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Machac | 45c | 2,207$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.64 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Machac | 76c | 2,016$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.87 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Humbert | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Humbert | 62c | 1,991$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.97 | 294 | 54.8%161 W · 133 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Humbert | 58c | 1,961$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.25 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Humbert | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 323 | 37.5%121 W · 202 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Humbert | 32c | 1,851$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Machac | 41c | 1,841$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.23 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Humbert | 49c | 1,829$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.28 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Humbert | 45c | 1,803$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.95 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Humbert | 57c | 1,761$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Machac | 44c | 1,709$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.87 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Machac | 60c | 1,691$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.43 | 310 | 52.9%164 W · 146 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Machac | 45c | 1,678$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.78 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Machac | 50c | 1,623$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.58 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Humbert | 19c | 1,542$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.56 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Humbert | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Humbert | 41c | 1,433$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Machac | 62c | 1,279$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.01 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Humbert | 16c | 1,232$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.13 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Machac | 41c | 1,229$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.54 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed Machac | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Machac | 44c | 1,132$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.9 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Machac | 43c | 1,129$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.11 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Humbert | 7c | 1,111$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Machac | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Humbert | 29c | 1,006$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Humbert | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Humbert | 34c | 994.03$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.58 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Humbert | 44c | 988.28$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.45 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Humbert | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Humbert | 53c | 948.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Humbert | 58c | 948.28$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,090 | 52.6%573 W · 517 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Humbert | 8c | 947.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Humbert | 36c | 942.22$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Machac | 44c | 937.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.98 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Humbert | 41c | 899.97$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.99 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Humbert | 56c | 899.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Humbert | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Machac | 70c | 858.53$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.14 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Machac | 49c | 817.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.61 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Machac | 45c | 783.06$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.74 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Humbert | 58c | 778.73$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…b7a8backed Humbert | 45c | 750.56$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Humbert | 37c | 722.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.81 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Humbert | 55c | 721.54$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.85 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Machac | 45c | 716.97$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.33 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Humbert | 52c | 705.65$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.53 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Humbert | 53c | 704.07$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.43 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…61bdbacked Machac | 49c | 666.09$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.78 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Humbert | 40c | 628.76$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.21 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Humbert | 26c | 623.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Machac | 48c | 610$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Humbert | 50c | 603$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Humbert | 38c | 585.93$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Humbert | 50c | 555$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…70d3backed Humbert | 54c | 533.19$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Humbert | 56c | 528.25$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.56 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Machac | 61c | 524.66$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.14 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Humbert | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 666 | 49.5%330 W · 336 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Humbert | 17c | 482.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Machac | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1,836 | 48.4%889 W · 947 L | -32.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…7efebacked Humbert | 73c | 415.05$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Humbert | 21c | 402.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Humbert | 42c | 400.41$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Humbert | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…de43backed Machac | 43c | 383.3$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Humbert | 50c | 367.44$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Machac | 44c | 355.77$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.23 | 114 | 26.3%30 W · 84 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Machac | 55c | 350.91$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machacthis page
- Humbert vs. Machac: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Humbert vs. Machac: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Humbert vs. Machac: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs MachacMachac won
- Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Machac (+1.5)Machac won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.