Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa3dd9499ea49b6c6b519a43cdecd982941ffaeb7c4505d80783e55c4cadbc2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perth Scorchersof Adelaide Strikers, Perth Scorchers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Adelaide Strikers | 31c | 7,018$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.07 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Perth Scorchers | 78c | 6,160$4,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Adelaide Strikers | 51c | 3,138$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.26 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Adelaide Strikers | 3c | 2,587$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Perth Scorchers | 58c | 2,084$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.77 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Adelaide Strikers | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…b5edbacked Adelaide Strikers | 27c | 1,033$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Perth Scorchers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…fdffbacked Perth Scorchers | 56c | 987.21$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Adelaide Strikers | 25c | 968.46$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Adelaide Strikers | 17c | 787$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Adelaide Strikers | 43c | 729.08$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.56 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Adelaide Strikers | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Adelaide Strikers | 12c | 597.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Perth Scorchers | 55c | 426$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.24 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Adelaide Strikers | 18c | 410$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Perth Scorchers | 56c | 401.79$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.79 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Perth Scorchers | 69c | 397.32$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Perth Scorchers | 64c | 380.6$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…c403backed Adelaide Strikers | 19c | 373.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Adelaide Strikers | 44c | 345.33$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.28 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Adelaide Strikers | 31c | 344.09$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…de43backed Perth Scorchers | 59c | 339.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Adelaide Strikers | 10c | 305.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Adelaide Strikers | 36c | 290$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Adelaide Strikers | 34c | 287.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Perth Scorchers | 64c | 282$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Adelaide Strikers | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Adelaide Strikers | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Adelaide Strikers | 14c | 231.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Adelaide Strikers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Adelaide Strikers | 17c | 223.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Adelaide Strikers | 46c | 215.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Adelaide Strikers | 45c | 184.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…0bd6backed Perth Scorchers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Perth Scorchers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…8a3abacked Adelaide Strikers | 7c | 162.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Adelaide Strikers | 22c | 157.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad2…9743backed Adelaide Strikers | 22c | 149.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Perth Scorchers | 55c | 148.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Adelaide Strikers | 20c | 148.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Adelaide Strikers | 43c | 136.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…9bd0backed Adelaide Strikers | 37c | 116.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Adelaide Strikers | 22c | 112.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Adelaide Strikers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Perth Scorchers | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Adelaide Strikers | 19c | 87.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…0afabacked Adelaide Strikers | 30c | 82.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Perth Scorchers | 72c | 81.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…fc8bbacked Perth Scorchers | 63c | 75.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2a…970fbacked Perth Scorchers | 57c | 64.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…156dbacked Perth Scorchers | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…143dbacked Perth Scorchers | 80c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Perth Scorchers | 71c | 50.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed Adelaide Strikers | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…56bebacked Perth Scorchers | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Perth Scorchers | 59c | 42.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Adelaide Strikers | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd407…0e41backed Perth Scorchers | 68c | 38.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…e7d4backed Perth Scorchers | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…ecb3backed Perth Scorchers | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Perth Scorchers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…1819backed Perth Scorchers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Adelaide Strikers | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…b234backed Perth Scorchers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…98abbacked Perth Scorchers | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…20e2backed Perth Scorchers | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Perth Scorchers | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…42ddbacked Perth Scorchers | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Perth Scorchers | 72c | 17.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Perth Scorchers | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.