TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sydney Thunderof Sydney Thunder, Melbourne Renegades
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x817b…3c25backed Melbourne Renegades59c6,000$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.993537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Sydney Thunder43c6,000$2,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,402.439758.8%57 W · 40 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+64.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Melbourne Renegades58c5,944$3,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,456.69229.3%27 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Melbourne Renegades60c5,743$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4449851%50 W · 48 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bc3…9ab5backed Sydney Thunder49c5,512$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Sydney Thunder40c3,784$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.9828749.5%142 W · 145 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa69b…7b0cbacked Melbourne Renegades62c3,228$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.0822552.4%118 W · 107 L+20.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7045…fdc0backed Melbourne Renegades47c2,762$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Sydney Thunder45c1,880$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.2233042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Sydney Thunder47c1,662$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.9712534.4%43 W · 82 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Sydney Thunder43c1,622$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.542850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Melbourne Renegades58c1,017$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.71050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+107.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Sydney Thunder42c999.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.9915429.9%46 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Sydney Thunder45c749.18$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.9968231.2%213 W · 469 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Melbourne Renegades57c741.67$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.8576751.6%396 W · 371 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Melbourne Renegades55c680$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3731020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-55.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Sydney Thunder38c587.5$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.122035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Sydney Thunder50c585$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.53345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ad…993dbacked Melbourne Renegades68c573$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6411058.2%64 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Melbourne Renegades58c535.14$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7218257.1%104 W · 78 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Melbourne Renegades62c462$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5315451.3%79 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Sydney Thunder25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009849%48 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Sydney Thunder51c392.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2314852%77 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bcc…de43backed Melbourne Renegades59c373.37$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…78a1backed Sydney Thunder22c363.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.994119.5%8 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f2a…970fbacked Sydney Thunder42c358.95$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+53.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Melbourne Renegades56c303.57$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706521.5%14 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Melbourne Renegades59c293.11$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.62944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Sydney Thunder51c253.3$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0926130.7%80 W · 181 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a1…e821backed Sydney Thunder75c227$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7523555.3%130 W · 105 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7a…500cbacked Sydney Thunder70c225$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.523754.4%129 W · 108 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb671…619bbacked Sydney Thunder46c223.92$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.721833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c68…c9b3backed Melbourne Renegades69c213.29$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7722241.9%93 W · 129 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Sydney Thunder39c210.51$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.432729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Sydney Thunder47c207.52$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.157643.4%33 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6680…c738backed Melbourne Renegades70c187.93$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.382181%17 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Sydney Thunder42c177.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.229154.9%50 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf062…7eb9backed Melbourne Renegades65c154.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002931%9 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88be…ad46backed Melbourne Renegades70c150.27$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4396…ebe6backed Melbourne Renegades68c138.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b0…69cabacked Melbourne Renegades52c131.4$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.94835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked Sydney Thunder41c127.19$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9732946.2%152 W · 177 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Melbourne Renegades58c124$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.924250%21 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x113f…20e2backed Melbourne Renegades70c120$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.492437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x126c…b2b0backed Melbourne Renegades51c115.87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.373228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Melbourne Renegades55c108.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015650.6%79 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d8…11babacked Sydney Thunder37c104.13$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6812634.1%43 W · 83 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dca…c48dbacked Sydney Thunder35c100.86$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8629932.4%97 W · 202 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Melbourne Renegades15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick12cpaid+69.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb0…27f8backed Sydney Thunder38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624537.8%17 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Sydney Thunder40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a7…df67backed Melbourne Renegades67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.89145.1%41 W · 50 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Melbourne Renegades42c97.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7310316.5%17 W · 86 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffb5…92c3backed Sydney Thunder32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.757139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Melbourne Renegades51c88.41$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x553f…0483backed Sydney Thunder18c83.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.152157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf713…0afabacked Melbourne Renegades64c82$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81612.5%2 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-79.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Melbourne Renegades15c81.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3263.8%1 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Melbourne Renegades54c81.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70de…5688backed Melbourne Renegades31c76.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Sydney Thunder35c72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.826930.5%82 W · 187 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c64…87b3backed Sydney Thunder39c65.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf62a…ec98backed Melbourne Renegades70c64.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b12…8a30backed Sydney Thunder40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.24027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Sydney Thunder48c58.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.234944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Sydney Thunder40c56.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.08650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a8…30a1backed Melbourne Renegades50c55.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.763852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec95…156dbacked Melbourne Renegades55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf632…02aabacked Sydney Thunder33c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6258%2 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-70.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf00…6767backed Sydney Thunder45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1da4…e65cbacked Melbourne Renegades47c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.465743.9%25 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Sydney Thunder37c43.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.933698.7%32 W · 337 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sydney Thunder42c43.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1363946.5%297 W · 342 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Melbourne Renegades37c43.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0310644.3%47 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5681…b253backed Sydney Thunder80c42.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.52065%13 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd4…a6f6backed Sydney Thunder40c40.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.343237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb082…2c98backed Sydney Thunder32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.156432.8%21 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Sydney Thunder41c39.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.413227.3%36 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec70…e529backed Sydney Thunder51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.225135.3%18 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa548…1fd5backed Sydney Thunder80c38.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.752466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Melbourne Renegades57c37.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.46549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb62…d14fbacked Melbourne Renegades54c36.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0184…8a3abacked Sydney Thunder41c36.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.44431.8%14 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4690…94fbbacked Melbourne Renegades47c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4515151.7%78 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Melbourne Renegades58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204717%8 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Sydney Thunder44c32.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3914129.1%41 W · 100 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Melbourne Renegades39c32.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.664360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa831…b3eebacked Melbourne Renegades69c31.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.074660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976b…cf45backed Sydney Thunder46c30.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.43475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab21…cd27backed Sydney Thunder35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.54040%16 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x253e…9bc3backed Melbourne Renegades49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.740%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Melbourne Renegades56c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6813040.8%53 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Melbourne Renegades57c27.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.47812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-69.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x25ee…447cbacked Melbourne Renegades59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed Sydney Thunder51c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1227054.4%147 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…1b48backed Sydney Thunder47c23.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7916650%83 W · 83 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x128a…bd2abacked Melbourne Renegades64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…eb47backed Melbourne Renegades73c20.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99425%1 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick76cpaid-66.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab18…4cb9backed Melbourne Renegades67c20.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09a5…0306backed Melbourne Renegades56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.24753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.