TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Djokovicof Sinner, Djokovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9267…0f9abacked Djokovic40c57,445$22,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,616.163336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Djokovic42c33,206$13,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,290.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Sinner58c19,781$11,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,540.874560%27 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Djokovic54c18,364$9,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,425.8157939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb5a…094ebacked Sinner60c15,028$8,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,997.01333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+446.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2793…1f9bbacked Sinner61c12,815$7,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,856.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Sinner61c12,768$7,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,791.534047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Sinner58c11,589$6,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,721.725644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Djokovic39c11,281$4,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,870.318429.8%25 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Djokovic39c10,651$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,446.710443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Sinner1c10,182$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.062,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aba…5aeebacked Sinner61c8,245$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Sinner60c6,672$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Sinner31c6,448$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0211827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Sinner60c6,000$3,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,593.0111852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Sinner60c5,865$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Sinner59c5,417$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.9431146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Djokovic56c5,198$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.642,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Djokovic40c5,140$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x399e…2eecbacked Sinner60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+400%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Djokovic55c4,666$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.3637444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Djokovic45c4,485$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,484.7810440.4%42 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Djokovic42c4,444$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,577.525955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Djokovic73c4,074$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.7822641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Djokovic41c3,240$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.467,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Sinner61c3,238$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.2212949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Sinner61c3,147$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.430847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd95c…f1d7backed Djokovic40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Djokovic35c2,939$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.4672132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Djokovic42c2,773$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.461631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf81…80cebacked Sinner62c2,641$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.421127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Sinner72c2,466$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.24934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Djokovic42c2,406$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Sinner72c2,049$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.2645457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Djokovic41c1,919$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.677,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd662…eee6backed Sinner61c1,864$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Sinner59c1,840$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0819348.4%45 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Djokovic41c1,800$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0625339.6%21 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Djokovic41c1,800$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06223945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Sinner57c1,734$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.8872452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Sinner58c1,605$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.6519846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Djokovic39c1,551$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.621735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Sinner55c1,531$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.8829146%134 W · 157 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Sinner2c1,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x158c…8a3fbacked Sinner61c1,371$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Sinner58c1,363$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.4111242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Djokovic42c1,298$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7503158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Sinner59c1,237$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73018053.9%97 W · 83 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdc…b5e9backed Djokovic24c1,229$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.17475%3 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick20cpaid+251.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Djokovic43c1,224$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.6862545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Sinner59c1,216$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.412755.9%71 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Sinner59c1,204$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.442969%20 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sinner58c1,203$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.194,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Djokovic34c1,149$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.622,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Djokovic43c1,111$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.2731753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Sinner59c1,101$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.3517348%83 W · 90 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked Sinner61c1,075$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.514445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…4fa1backed Sinner58c1,074$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Djokovic40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Djokovic41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59028141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Sinner59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5905052%26 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Sinner56c1,000$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Sinner57c999.99$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Sinner57c995.34$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.341643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Djokovic47c976$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.9262061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Djokovic41c964.35$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.3554138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Djokovic41c878.05$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.054100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+285.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6298…a8dfbacked Djokovic74c876.49$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Sinner60c856$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.61241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Sinner60c840$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e1…ab0fbacked Sinner61c815.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked Sinner62c806.76$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005450%27 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Djokovic26c769.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.236050%30 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Djokovic40c758.31$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.9895140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a52…05b4backed Sinner54c749.66$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.292133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.9wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xec24…9544backed Sinner47c684.61$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Djokovic43c636.24$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.11250%6 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+121.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Sinner64c630.76$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Djokovic40c625.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.2212552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Sinner58c599.99$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9946553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Djokovic40c599.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Djokovic33c552.18$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.1898240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Sinner62c522.58$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32258359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked Djokovic52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2403669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Sinner60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69c9…e904backed Djokovic24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed Sinner56c487.25$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.863046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Sinner59c486.64$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3518957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd35d…ea31backed Djokovic42c471.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.222751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Djokovic43c468.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.722532%8 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Sinner59c449.69$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.1612050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Djokovic40c444.44$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.66850%4 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+154.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Sinner60c442.68$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.343749%214 W · 223 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Sinner61c442.62$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Sinner59c434.84$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25711046.4%51 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Sinner58c433.94$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5237339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Djokovic23c429.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.1719129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Sinner59c424.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.2825152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Sinner59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25051243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Djokovic43c417.31$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.37644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.