Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Djokovic vs Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04285c1e9e737f9db72f6a76e7b41d6a9030dfbb6608e7ec0f57627a376c7591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Djokovic, Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Djokovic | 20c | 10,743$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.68 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…f545backed Sinner | 80c | 5,006$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Sinner | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sinner | 79c | 918.1$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sinner | 80c | 703.75$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.31 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sinner | 80c | 522.86$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.03 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…24d7backed Djokovic | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…713cbacked Sinner | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…e904backed Djokovic | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Sinner | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Djokovic | 21c | 492.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Djokovic | 22c | 448.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…dddfbacked Djokovic | 21c | 444.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Sinner | 80c | 402.7$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Djokovic | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Sinner | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Sinner | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…f87ebacked Sinner | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Djokovic | 17c | 224.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 184 | 30.4%56 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Djokovic | 20c | 219.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Sinner | 80c | 219.28$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Djokovic | 21c | 209.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Sinner | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa515…fd70backed Sinner | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Djokovic | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sinner | 78c | 166.17$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Sinner | 80c | 149.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2014…9530backed Sinner | 80c | 145.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…a238backed Sinner | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Sinner | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…8f65backed Sinner | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…66f3backed Sinner | 80c | 123.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…cfbebacked Sinner | 80c | 120.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Sinner | 76c | 106.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Sinner | 79c | 103.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Sinner | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…dc41backed Djokovic | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Sinner | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Sinner | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…f1a8backed Djokovic | 22c | 98.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Djokovic | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…1f62backed Sinner | 80c | 68.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Djokovic | 18c | 60.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…5b36backed Djokovic | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…5578backed Sinner | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Sinner | 79c | 34.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f54…3575backed Sinner | 80c | 32.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…e59abacked Sinner | 80c | 28.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Sinner | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Sinner | 80c | 24.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Sinner | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed Sinner | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Sinner | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…3699backed Sinner | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Djokovic vs Sinnerthis page
- Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik SinnerDjokovic won
- Djokovic vs. Sinner: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Djokovic vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Djokovic vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Djokovic vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.