Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5800c03f075b1cdc539aa556bb4a5f7d80bd693e7b7dc19627b6e51494da45f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Sinner, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Djokovic | 17c | 5,544$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.52 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Sinner | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…05b4backed Sinner | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.97 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 20c | 2,926$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.7 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Djokovic | 69c | 2,891$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.26 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Djokovic | 14c | 2,763$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.72 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Sinner | 5c | 2,017$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Djokovic | 19c | 1,811$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Djokovic | 16c | 1,159$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.82 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Djokovic | 20c | 888.88$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Djokovic | 18c | 650.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.6 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Djokovic | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Sinner | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Djokovic | 16c | 315$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Djokovic | 14c | 252.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Djokovic | 13c | 217.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.51 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Sinner | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Djokovic | 18c | 111.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Sinner | 26c | 67.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Djokovic | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…a03abacked Sinner | 77c | 32.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)this page
- Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik SinnerDjokovic won
- Djokovic vs. Sinner: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Djokovic vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Djokovic vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Djokovic vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Djokovic vs SinnerSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.