TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Djokovic vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,188 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9267…0f9abacked Under 3.559c6,685$3,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,944.153336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over 3.541c5,555$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,277.455955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under 3.50c4,579$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.852,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Under 3.562c2,972$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.7444360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Over 3.541c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Under 3.561c1,700$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0372236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over 3.539c1,700$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over 3.541c1,248$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73922641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under 3.559c1,179$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.632,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Over 3.542c1,055$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.071631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over 3.541c1,002$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.4712861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Under 3.559c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Under 3.558c999.99$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over 3.541c695.18$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.272,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over 3.538c657.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.8938348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under 3.563c629.6$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.6560753.7%326 W · 281 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Over 3.538c629$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9824055%132 W · 108 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over 3.541c609.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.7638739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over 3.539c576.5$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.227,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over 3.541c493.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.661,57939.8%629 W · 950 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65f2…c6f5backed Over 3.536c487.96$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+178.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ea…0d10backed Over 3.538c468.42$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.423852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Under 3.560c362$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4412050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under 3.559c359.26$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9691050.2%457 W · 453 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c37…3fd1backed Under 3.562c359.14$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2213562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88ff…fa1bbacked Under 3.559c335$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6580%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x051f…66b0backed Under 3.564c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Under 3.560c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18014663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc3…861abacked Under 3.565c269$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.332147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00fa…5ce9backed Under 3.563c268.65$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1691540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Over 3.538c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1610843.5%47 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc37…87f3backed Under 3.554c259.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under 3.563c251.73$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8655941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Under 3.560c240$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Under 3.563c239$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a55…567ebacked Under 3.558c222$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.761643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab72…eae9backed Under 3.572c210.6$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.811526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Under 3.563c207.39$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13054547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over 3.539c189.43$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.362,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over 3.541c169.02$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.727644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1fc…7750backed Under 3.566c151.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Under 3.559c148$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.326058.3%35 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over 3.535c144.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.893348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over 3.543c139.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+96%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over 3.538c132$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8425237.3%94 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over 3.538c128.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.956250%31 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under 3.560c120.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3634047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Over 3.542c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.61560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a58…92b3backed Over 3.542c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+259.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Over 3.535c107.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.846050%30 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd18b…1e04backed Under 3.560c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x472c…a000backed Under 3.562c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x194e…1833backed Over 3.540c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+183%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbeaa…e2d0backed Under 3.560c93$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.81526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.8wins-0.32per pick59cpaid-54.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Under 3.559c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012850.8%65 W · 63 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x083f…a55fbacked Under 3.560c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-42.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Under 3.562c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043647.2%206 W · 230 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over 3.539c79.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7925546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a52…05b4backed Under 3.550c68.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.322133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.9wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over 3.566c60.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.425957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Over 3.538c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.633351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6317…d50abacked Over 3.538c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under 3.559c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.536261.6%223 W · 139 L+40.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6680…dac9backed Under 3.560c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302171.4%15 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdde8…40c6backed Under 3.561c49.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8616…cfbebacked Under 3.560c48.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293070%21 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Under 3.561c44.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2788446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Over 3.541c40.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.992445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over 3.535c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2643948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Under 3.562c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.818247.3%86 W · 96 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Under 3.559c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.61315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-54.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Over 3.543c38.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9077…9c3fbacked Over 3.543c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.885052%26 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba4f…7ecebacked Over 3.538c34.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.218159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Under 3.559c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0635051.1%179 W · 171 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Under 3.560c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f4…8e5cbacked Under 3.561c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4a0…993dbacked Over 3.541c30.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.714951%25 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Over 3.538c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.68851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf058…a5e9backed Over 3.539c28.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over 3.568c27.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.975541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f12…8685backed Under 3.559c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-51.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under 3.563c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8288455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Over 3.540c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561341.8%256 W · 357 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…4aebbacked Over 3.540c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+83.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ac…15a9backed Under 3.562c23.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7911…f304backed Under 3.559c18.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.