NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe31cb0fc4317f5052ffeebea2314f2c9356a796733b4ee162ca44aca7b3c6f83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Hornets | 53c | 56,604$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,603.77 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 47c | 54,185$25,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,515.77 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 10,597$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982.41 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 52c | 5,791$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 48c | 5,495$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.82 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Hornets | 54c | 4,815$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.81 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,212$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hornets | 57c | 4,169$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.58 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Mavericks | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Hornets | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 47c | 3,465$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.62 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 47c | 3,177$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.6 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Hornets | 52c | 3,073$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.08 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 47c | 2,600$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Hornets | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.83 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Hornets | 53c | 1,897$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.67 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,771$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.39 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada7…8dbcbacked Hornets | 54c | 1,517$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 36c | 1,101$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Mavericks | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.91 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Hornets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…cde2backed Mavericks | 50c | 910$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Hornets | 54c | 880$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.8 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…d4c0backed Mavericks | 50c | 854$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Hornets | 51c | 850.37$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.68 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Mavericks | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…de43backed Hornets | 54c | 718.96$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks | 48c | 660.87$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.35 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…b3bebacked Mavericks | 50c | 630$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ec…4bfdbacked Hornets | 50c | 608$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hornets | 54c | 596$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.59 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…ec3cbacked Hornets | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…8090backed Mavericks | 50c | 581$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…dc60backed Hornets | 50c | 579$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…6db1backed Mavericks | 50c | 577$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…5afabacked Hornets | 50c | 575$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…4c78backed Hornets | 50c | 567$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ef…200dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 565$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Mavericks | 48c | 565$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.2 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…f88ebacked Hornets | 50c | 560$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96fa…bbf2backed Hornets | 50c | 546$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…472dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 538$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…e342backed Mavericks | 50c | 525$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…34b8backed Hornets | 50c | 522$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9170…9bc2backed Hornets | 50c | 520$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…6540backed Mavericks | 50c | 499$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be1…8559backed Mavericks | 50c | 493$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…0191backed Mavericks | 50c | 487$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…f3a1backed Hornets | 50c | 481$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…a7a5backed Mavericks | 50c | 460$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…7caabacked Mavericks | 50c | 455$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…011fbacked Hornets | 50c | 443$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…42e4backed Hornets | 50c | 426$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54bf…bec5backed Hornets | 50c | 423$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 52c | 361.26$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Hornets | 53c | 358$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.31 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Hornets | 73c | 354.23$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 49c | 344.62$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa332…7fc1backed Hornets | 50c | 342$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks | 48c | 333.19$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks | 44c | 323.22$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.34 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Hornets | 65c | 317$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Mavericks | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Mavericks | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…25f3backed Hornets | 50c | 278$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Hornets | 58c | 253.51$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks | 46c | 251.53$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 245.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…bdf6backed Hornets | 50c | 232$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Mavericks | 44c | 226.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Mavericks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Mavericks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Hornets | 52c | 198$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Mavericks | 48c | 170.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.63 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Hornets | 57c | 168.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Mavericks | 47c | 160.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…3d55backed Mavericks | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hornets | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Hornets | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf7…31bebacked Mavericks | 49c | 143$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff6…f5abbacked Mavericks | 49c | 137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mavericks | 49c | 133$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Hornets | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Mavericks | 45c | 118.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…6ba5backed Mavericks | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Hornets | 51c | 109.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 42c | 95.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Mavericks | 48c | 94.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Hornets | 54c | 93.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Hornets | 52c | 86.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Mavericks | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Hornets | 50c | 78.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…884bbacked Hornets | 62c | 77.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Hornets | 54c | 75.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hornets | 65c | 73.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 71.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…390ebacked Hornets | 50c | 69.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. HornetsHornets won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 15.5No won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.