TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under55c18,154$10,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,120.2943542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c8,113$3,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,622.724,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over44c3,436$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.584,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over41c1,965$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.166,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over44c1,428$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.983,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x789e…cf5ebacked Under61c1,310$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over44c1,250$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.2422836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c1,209$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.239,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under59c1,129$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.0311159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c1,022$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.565,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over43c998.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.5795651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c6…d5a5backed Under50c996$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c3f…c0adbacked Over50c984$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0446…b589backed Over50c976$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fdd…133ebacked Over50c954$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b8d…be37backed Under50c928$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b97…5648backed Over50c916$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…c48abacked Over50c880$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d4…1114backed Over50c860$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d8c…35f4backed Under50c848$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc313…14e4backed Over50c844$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d05…0d40backed Under50c832$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d55…6b62backed Under50c812$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ad5…aab3backed Under50c804$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e81…93c2backed Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae7…554cbacked Under50c788$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe1e…b4c6backed Under50c784$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f73…7465backed Under50c782$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over23c773.81$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79f4…eb12backed Under50c752$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over44c749.63$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.843,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde3e…1740backed Under50c744$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x385c…5299backed Under50c736$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa85d…7d36backed Over50c732$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x790b…8a6bbacked Over50c708$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7746…7912backed Under50c702$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+62.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e77…c07ebacked Over50c696$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0085…5e27backed Over50c676$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb93…da0bbacked Under50c672$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb26f…3e7bbacked Under50c660$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe547…8a76backed Under50c628$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3143100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d19…6ff8backed Over50c614$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9975…4a73backed Over50c608$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0814…6de2backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…e1cebacked Under50c595$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2705…633dbacked Over50c591$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd19f…7edbbacked Over50c590$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa0…5225backed Over50c586$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc891…fc7cbacked Over50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a9c…a819backed Under50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8847…1d3cbacked Over50c579$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889d…75e9backed Over50c568$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ed…d559backed Over50c567$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1648…1826backed Under50c565$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4871…610cbacked Over50c557$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc694…6e8ebacked Under50c556$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a1…78a8backed Under50c553$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa794…79a3backed Under50c551$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7917…7e15backed Over50c549$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfe…8350backed Under50c549$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c75…d342backed Over50c544$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5086…284dbacked Under50c539$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd555…0fb7backed Over50c538$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4a…2f47backed Under50c535$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b7…fa95backed Over50c535$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d3d…0a92backed Under50c531$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b5…f13dbacked Over50c530$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ed…a8cbbacked Over50c529$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb1…72cdbacked Over50c527$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…e5c5backed Under50c522$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab8…342fbacked Under50c521$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f5…aa4abacked Under50c512$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee6e…70e0backed Under50c511$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a0…c46bbacked Over50c505$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…239ebacked Over50c504$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9589…5b32backed Under50c502$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdb…eb81backed Under50c496$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcb…75a6backed Under50c492$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd6…0266backed Over50c488$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8603…3359backed Over50c477$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46dc…1f95backed Over50c471$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd2a…736bbacked Under50c463$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…db0cbacked Under50c461$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c07…c535backed Under50c460$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…a5b6backed Over50c457$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8472…f3febacked Under50c450$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd137…4310backed Over50c448$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c9…9ba8backed Over50c443$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc197…1ad9backed Under50c443$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d1…225fbacked Under50c439$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dad…732ebacked Over50c427$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x944d…ae27backed Over50c423$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc661…1576backed Over50c422$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc863…15c2backed Under50c418$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac5a…b748backed Over50c415$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7460…b3dfbacked Under50c411$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84a…a882backed Under50c409$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8a…65d1backed Under50c406$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd431…f456backed Under50c405$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.